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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Waregem
T T S U S
3–2
Full-time
Standard
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 31/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
48%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
68%
52%
Both score Ø 63%
61%
64%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 3. · Standard 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 17 4 4 +35 55
2 Antwerp 27 16 6 5 +17 54
3 Waregem 31 15 4 12 +3 49
4 Mechelen 27 14 5 8 +6 47
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 13 8 9 +5 47
6 Genk 26 12 9 5 +16 45
7 Gent 28 12 6 10 +17 42
8 Kortrijk 31 12 6 13 -1 42
9 Charleroi 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Beerschot VA 29 12 4 13 -5 40
11 Anderlecht 28 8 15 5 +9 39
12 Oostende 26 11 6 9 +7 39
13 Standard 25 10 8 7 +5 38
14 Eupen 32 8 14 10 -10 38
15 Cercle Brugge 31 10 2 19 -12 32
16 St Truiden 30 8 7 15 -10 31
17 Mouscron 28 6 8 14 -19 26
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 6 8 14 -19 26
19 Waasland-Beveren 28 6 7 15 -23 25
20 Beveren 28 6 7 15 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Standard
11′
Klauss 0–1
M. Lestienne
1–1 J. Dompé
15′
Half-time 1–2
53′
S. Bastien 1–2
Klauss
2–2 G. Bruno
J. Dompé
56′
3–2 G. Bruno
O. Govea
59′
60′
🔁 S. Amallah
↦ M. Carcela-González
60′
🔁 J. Muleka
↦ N. Dussenne
68′
🔁 A. Tapsoba
↦ M. Lestienne
75′
🔁 E. Shamir
↦ S. Bastien
T. Chorý 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
76′
N. Kainourgios 🔁
↦ G. Bruno
79′
90′
🟨 Abdoul Tapsoba
E. Pletinckx 🔁
↦ O. Govea
90′
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Waregem

25 L. Bostyn G
3 O. Deschacht D
27 L. De Bock D
4 D. Opare D
33 C. Humphreys D
5 D. Marcq M
21 I. Seck M
10 O. Govea M
9 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
17 J. Dompé F
Bench (7)
15 T. Chorý
43 N. Kainourgios
24 E. Pletinckx
53 A. Colassin
1 S. Bossut
80 Y. Sylla
29 M. De Smet

Coach: F. Dury

Standard

16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
20 M. Bokadi M
41 H. Siquet D
10 M. Carcela-González M
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
28 S. Bastien M
14 Klauss F
Bench (7)
19 S. Amallah
17 J. Muleka
23 A. Tapsoba
15 E. Shamir
30 L. Henkinet
5 M. Sissako
33 D. Pavlovic

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,54
U
3,64
B
1,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.