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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Anderlecht
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Gent
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 46%
71%
20%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
43%
60%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
2,4
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 2. · Gent 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 9 5 2 2 +6 17
2 Anderlecht 7 5 1 1 +12 16
3 Kortrijk 9 5 1 3 +4 16
4 Standard 9 5 1 3 -3 16
5 Oostende 9 5 0 4 -3 15
6 Genk 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Eupen 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Club Brugge 7 4 2 1 +4 14
9 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +8 13
10 Charleroi 7 2 4 1 +5 10
11 St Truiden 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -4 10
13 Seraing 8 3 0 5 -5 9
14 Seraing United 8 3 0 5 -5 9
15 Cercle Brugge 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 1 4 3 -8 7
18 Gent 5 1 1 3 +2 4
19 Beerschot VA 8 0 1 7 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
Michael Murillo 🟨
28′
31′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
39′
A. Castro-Montes 0–1
R. Bezus
Half-time 0–1
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
46′
46′
🔁 D. Lemajić
↦ L. Depoitre
50′
🔁 S. Kums
↦ E. Owusu
55′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
1–1 L. Refaelov
59′
65′
🔁 M. Samoise
↦ A. Castro-Montes
66′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ G. Chakvetadze
B. Raman 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
71′
Josh Cullen 🟨
72′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
82′
J. Zirkzee 🔁
↦ C. Kouamé
85′
92′
🔁 I. Mboyo
↦ R. Bezus
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
17 Sergio Gómez D
51 Y. Verschaeren M
46 A. Ait El Hadj M
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
9 B. Raman
18 M. Ashimeru
23 J. Zirkzee
2 L. Magallán
26 C. Coosemans
14 B. Mykhaylichenko

Coach: V. Kompany

Gent

4-4-2
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
3 C. Opéri D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
9 R. Bezus F
13 J. De Sart M
6 E. Owusu M
10 G. Chakvetadze M
29 L. Depoitre F
Bench (7)
11 D. Lemajić
24 S. Kums
18 M. Samoise
34 T. Tissoudali
7 I. Mboyo
33 D. Roef
22 S. Marreh

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,58
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.