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Eredivisie

Referee: A Bos

Cambuur

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Heracles

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

3,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

80%

25%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

5,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

3,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cambuur 12. · Heracles 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+26	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Willem II	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Utrecht	6	3	2	1	+8	11
6	Heerenveen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Vitesse	6	3	0	3	-8	9
8	Nijmegen	6	2	2	2	-5	8
9	Twente	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	0	4	-4	6
12	Cambuur	5	2	0	3	-8	6
13	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Groningen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	For Sittard	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Zwolle	6	0	1	5	-7	1
18	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+19	9
2	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Willem II	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Heracles	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Groningen	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Vitesse	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	-2	9
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Willem II	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
9	Twente	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	1	2	-6	1
14	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Cambuur	2	0	0	2	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.