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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Genk
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 7
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 11. · Anderlecht 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
2 Oostende 6 4 0 2 +0 12
3 Eupen 7 3 2 2 +4 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
6 Standard 6 3 1 2 -4 10
7 St. Gilloise 4 3 0 1 +7 9
8 Seraing 6 3 0 3 -3 9
9 Seraing United 6 3 0 3 -3 9
10 Club Brugge 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
12 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 St Truiden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
14 Antwerp 5 1 2 2 +1 5
15 Waregem 5 1 2 2 -3 5
16 Cercle Brugge 7 1 2 4 -3 5
17 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 0 4 2 -7 4
19 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Anderlecht
42′
🟨 Benito Raman
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ J. Zirkzee
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Taylor Harwood-Bellis
67′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ B. Raman
68′
🟨 Kristoffer Olsson
M. Trésor 🔁
↦ C. Eiting
72′
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
82′
P. Hrošovský 🔁
↦ B. Heynen
82′
84′
🟨 Francis Amuzu
85′
🔁 I. Thelin
↦ L. Refaelov
85′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ A. El Hadj
1–0 I. Ugbo
K. Thorstvedt
87′
90′
🟨 Sergio Gómez
M. McKenzie 🔁
↦ J. Ito
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
20 C. Eiting M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda F
7 J. Ito F
Bench (7)
11 M. Trésor
21 I. Ugbo
17 P. Hrošovský
2 M. McKenzie
24 L. Oyen
3 Mujaid Sadick
40 T. Leysen

Coach: J. van den Brom

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
17 Sergio Gómez D
46 A. El Hadj M
9 B. Raman F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
99 C. Kouamé
7 F. Amuzu
24 I. Thelin
18 M. Ashimeru
54 K. Sardella
51 Y. Verschaeren
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,22
B
3,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.