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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Anderlecht
U S S S T
7–2
Full-time
Mechelen
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 6. · Mechelen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
2 Oostende 8 4 0 4 -5 12
3 Club Brugge 6 3 2 1 +3 11
4 Eupen 8 3 2 3 +3 11
5 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
6 Anderlecht 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Genk 5 3 1 1 +5 10
8 Standard 6 3 1 2 -4 10
9 St. Gilloise 4 3 0 1 +7 9
10 Seraing 6 3 0 3 -3 9
11 Seraing United 6 3 0 3 -3 9
12 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 +2 8
13 Cercle Brugge 8 2 2 4 -1 8
14 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -3 8
15 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
16 St Truiden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
17 Gent 4 1 1 2 +3 4
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 0 4 2 -7 4
19 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Mechelen
1–0 B. Raman
T. Harwood-Bellis
23′
36′
N. Storm 1–1
H. Cuypers
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. Kouamé
K. Olsson
49′
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ B. Raman
51′
3–1 C. Kouamé
Sergio Gómez
57′
Kristoffer Olsson 🟨
60′
4–1 M. Murillo
Sergio Gómez
61′
70′
🔁 J. Van Damme
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
70′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ M. Shved
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
71′
5–1 F. Amuzu
M. Murillo
74′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ M. Murillo
82′
82′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ S. Walsh
82′
🔁 O. Kaya
↦ H. Cuypers
B. Mykhaylichenko 🔁
↦ K. Olsson
83′
J. Zirkzee 🔁
↦ C. Kouamé
83′
6–1 Y. Verschaeren
J. Zirkzee
85′
7–1 J. Zirkzee
F. Amuzu
87′
91′
O. Kaya 7–2
Full-time 7–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-2-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
17 Sergio Gómez D
46 A. Ait El Hadj M
9 B. Raman F
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (7)
51 Y. Verschaeren
7 F. Amuzu
18 M. Ashimeru
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
23 J. Zirkzee
2 L. Magallán
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: V. Kompany

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
13 J. Van Damme
9 F. Druijf
2 I. Swers
8 O. Kaya
7 G. Hairemans
15 Y. Thoelen
10 I. de Camargo

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
4,08
B
4,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.