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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Standard
T U U U U
1–0
Full-time
Eupen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
47%
73%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 11. · Eupen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +22 31
2 Genk 13 7 3 3 +13 24
3 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +14 23
4 Charleroi 13 6 5 2 +9 23
5 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
6 Kortrijk 15 6 5 4 +3 23
7 Mechelen 14 7 2 5 +1 23
8 Club Brugge 12 6 4 2 +6 22
9 Eupen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
10 Oostende 15 6 2 7 -6 20
11 Standard 15 5 5 5 -6 20
12 St Truiden 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 8 5 -8 17
14 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Seraing 15 5 1 9 -9 16
16 Seraing United 15 5 1 9 -9 16
17 Waregem 16 3 5 8 -16 14
18 Cercle Brugge 16 2 4 10 -9 10
19 Beerschot VA 15 2 3 10 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Eupen
Nicolas Raskin 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–1
0–1 E. Agbadou
own goal
47′
53′
🟨 Konan N'Dri
61′
🔁 S. Keita
↦ J. Ngoy
D. Drăguş 🔁
↦ S. Amallah
66′
71′
🔁 Leonardo Rocha
↦ K. N’Dri
71′
🔁 B. Lambert
↦ A. Beck
G. Cimirot 🔁
↦ S. Bastien
73′
M. Carcela-González 🔁
↦ A. Dønnum
74′
86′
🔁 J. Déom
↦ Jordi Amat
89′
ℹ️ Sibiry Keita
VAR: Penalty confirmed
90′
🟨 Sibiry Keita
C. Fai 🔁
↦ H. Siquet
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Standard

4-3-3
30 L. Henkinet G
6 N. Dussenne D
34 K. Laifis D
14 N. Nkounkou D
2 H. Siquet D
20 M. Bokadi M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah F
26 N. Raskin M
11 A. Dønnum F
9 João Klauss F
Bench (7)
7 D. Drăguş
8 G. Cimirot
10 M. Carcela-González
21 C. Fai
40 M. Epolo
5 M. Sissako
17 J. Muleka

Coach: L. Elsner

Eupen

4-3-3
33 A. Nurudeen G
32 A. Beck D
5 Jordi Amat D
24 S. Gnaka D
22 E. Agbadou D
26 J. Cools M
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
11 K. N’Dri F
Bench (7)
13 S. Keita
19 Leonardo Rocha
35 B. Lambert
14 J. Déom
28 J. Heris
99 T. Roufosse
17 Carlos Embalo

Coach: S. Krämer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,71
B
3,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.