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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
2–1
Full-time
Standard
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
20%
37%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
60%
53%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15. · Standard 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 18 15 1 2 +32 46
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 18 10 3 5 +11 33
6 Charleroi 17 9 5 3 +15 32
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
9 Genk 16 7 4 5 +10 25
10 Gent 16 7 4 5 +7 25
11 Cercle Brugge 22 7 4 11 -1 25
12 Eupen 21 7 4 10 -5 25
13 Mechelen 17 7 2 8 -4 23
14 St Truiden 21 6 3 12 -13 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 4 8 8 -11 20
16 Waregem 21 5 5 11 -19 20
17 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
1–0 M. Maertens
X. Mercier
15′
2–0 M. Maertens
X. Mercier
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Tapsoba
↦ G. Cimirot
46′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ M. Carcela-González
49′
🟨 Jackson Muleka
53′
🟨 Samuel Bastien
65′
🟨 Maxime Lestienne
69′
🔁 João Klauss
↦ J. Muleka
79′
🔁 H. Rafia
↦ A. Tapsoba
M. Keita 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
85′
Cenk Özkaçar 🟨
91′
P. Ngawa 🔁
↦ Mousa Al-Tamari
93′
94′
C. Fai 2–1
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ M. Maertens
97′
98′
🟨 João Klauss
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
4 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
27 M. Keita
21 A. De Sart
5 P. Ngawa
17 M. Kukharevych
77 J. Sekidika
90 R. Romo
14 T. Vlietinck

Coach: M. Brys

Standard

4-2-3-1
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
34 K. Laifis D
21 C. Fai D
14 N. Nkounkou D
10 M. Carcela-González M
8 G. Cimirot M
20 M. Bokadi M
28 S. Bastien M
11 A. Dønnum M
17 J. Muleka F
Bench (7)
23 A. Tapsoba
22 M. Lestienne
9 João Klauss
12 H. Rafia
5 M. Sissako
30 L. Henkinet
2 H. Siquet

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,45
U
3,48
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.