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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
Eupen
T U T S T
0–4
Full-time
Charleroi
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 20/16 matches
Win Ø 43%
35%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
70%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

55% Possession 45%
24 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
4 Corners 1
16 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 10. · Charleroi 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 18 15 1 2 +32 46
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 17 11 4 2 +15 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 17 10 2 5 +11 32
6 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
7 Standard 19 7 5 7 -9 26
8 Oostende 21 8 2 11 -15 26
9 Gent 16 7 4 5 +7 25
10 Eupen 20 7 4 9 -1 25
11 Cercle Brugge 22 7 4 11 -1 25
12 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
13 Mechelen 17 7 2 8 -4 23
14 St Truiden 21 6 3 12 -13 21
15 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 4 8 8 -11 20
16 Waregem 21 5 5 11 -19 20
17 Seraing 20 6 1 13 -17 19
18 Seraing United 20 6 1 13 -17 19
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Charleroi
8′
A. Gholizadeh 0–1
S. Nicholson
22′
S. Nicholson 0–2
A. Zaroury
42′
S. Nicholson 0–3
R. Morioka
Half-time 0–3
Boris Lambert 🟨
46′
49′
S. Nicholson 0–4
M. Ilaimaharitra
Jerome Deom 🟨
55′
Andreas Beck 🟨
60′
Leonardo Rocha 🔁
↦ S. Prevljak
60′
G. Magnée 🔁
↦ S. Peeters
60′
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
60′
64′
🔁 A. Zorgane
↦ R. Morioka
64′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ S. Nicholson
70′
🔁 V. Ozornwafor
↦ L. Bessilé
B. Poulain 🔁
↦ B. Lambert
73′
E. Sowah Adjei 🔁
↦ A. Beck
73′
80′
🔁 G. Gillet
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
80′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ J. Tchatchoua
Emmanuel Agbadou 🟨
81′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Eupen

4-3-1-2
30 R. Himmelmann G
32 A. Beck D
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
24 S. Gnaka D
35 B. Lambert M
22 E. Agbadou M
8 S. Peeters M
14 J. Déom M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
19 Leonardo Rocha
15 G. Magnée
11 K. N’Dri
6 B. Poulain
25 E. Sowah Adjei
13 S. Keita
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: S. Krämer

Charleroi

3-4-2-1
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
5 L. Bessilé D
21 S. Andreou D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
38 J. Tchatchoua M
10 S. Nicholson F
70 A. Zaroury F
Bench (7)
6 A. Zorgane
15 A. Descotte
25 V. Ozornwafor
30 G. Gillet
34 A. Benchaib
7 K. Zedadka
13 D. Desprez

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U
3,46
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.