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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Club Brugge
S S S U S
1–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 72%
70%
73%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
55%
48%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 33 24 5 4 +54 77
2 Club Brugge 33 23 6 4 +40 75
3 Anderlecht 33 20 9 4 +50 69
4 Gent 34 19 8 7 +29 65
5 Antwerp 33 19 6 8 +17 63
6 Genk 34 18 6 10 +29 60
7 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
8 Charleroi 34 15 8 11 +10 53
9 Mechelen 34 15 5 14 -4 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 36 9 5 22 -37 32
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge St. Gilloise
12′
🟨 Koki Machida
18′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
Éder Balanta 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
S. Adamyan 🔁
↦ Clinton Mata
54′
59′
🟨 Koki Machida
59′
🟥 Koki Machida
61′
🔁 S. Van der Heyden
↦ L. Amani
0–1 A. Moris
own goal
65′
70′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ D. Vanzeir
Simon Mignolet 🟨
76′
77′
🟨 Casper Nielsen
78′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ J. Bager
78′
🔁 I. Kandouss
↦ C. Burgess
Tajon Buchanan 🟨
83′
A. Skov Olsen 🔁
↦ N. Lang
83′
Charles De Ketelaere ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
86′
91′
ℹ️ Casper Nielsen
VAR: Goal cancelled
Tajon Buchanan 🟨
93′
Tajon Buchanan 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 S. Mignolet G
6 D. Odoi M
2 E. Sobol M
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
5 J. Hendry D
20 H. Vanaken M
3 É. Balanta M
90 C. De Ketelaere F
10 N. Lang F
17 T. Buchanan M
Bench (7)
9 S. Adamyan
7 A. Skov Olsen
32 A. Nusa
94 L. Sylla
91 S. Lammens
25 R. Vormer
29 B. Dost

Coach: A. Schreuder

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
28 K. Machida D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
44 S. Van der Heyden
23 Cameron Puertas
11 Álex Millán
59 I. Kandouss
21 L. Pirard
25 D. Marcq
19 G. François

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,65
B
3,34
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.