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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
St. Gilloise
S S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 70%
77%
63%
Points per game
2,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,6
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%
6 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 30 23 4 3 +54 73
2 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +38 71
3 Anderlecht 30 19 8 3 +48 65
4 Antwerp 31 19 5 7 +21 62
5 Gent 31 16 8 7 +25 56
6 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
7 Genk 31 16 5 10 +26 53
8 Charleroi 31 15 7 9 +13 52
9 Mechelen 31 15 5 11 +0 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 35 9 4 22 -37 31
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Anderlecht
1–0 B. Nieuwkoop
D. Undav
2′
2–0 D. Vanzeir
D. Undav
12′
26′
J. Cullen 2–1
C. Kouamé
31′
🟨 Josh Cullen
Half-time 2–1
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani 🟨
47′
50′
🟨 Michael Murillo
3–1 K. Mitoma
D. Undav
52′
69′
🔁 F. Amuzu
↦ L. Refaelov
69′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ J. Zirkzee
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
74′
83′
🔁 A. Ait El Hadj
↦ Y. Verschaeren
84′
🔁 K. Olsson
↦ M. Kana
K. Kozłowski 🔁
↦ K. Mitoma
87′
Jonas Bager 🟨
90′
G. François 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
92′
D. Marcq 🔁
↦ D. Undav
92′
I. Kandouss 🔁
↦ J. Bager
92′
96′
🟨 Kristoffer Olsson
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
28 K. Machida D
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
94 L. Lapoussin
64 K. Kozłowski
19 G. François
25 D. Marcq
59 I. Kandouss
44 S. Van der Heyden
21 L. Pirard

Coach: F. Mazzù

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
14 B. Mykhaylichenko D
62 M. Murillo D
55 M. Kana M
11 L. Refaelov M
8 J. Cullen M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
7 F. Amuzu
9 B. Raman
46 A. Ait El Hadj
20 K. Olsson
16 B. Verbruggen
61 K. Arnstad
52 M. Stroeykens

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,56
B
2,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.