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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Ajax

S S S S U

5–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches

Win Ø 56%

78%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

69%

43%

Both score Ø 42%

31%

53%

Average goals

3,4

2,4

Scored

2,8

1,1

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · Heerenveen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	32	25	4	3	+74	79
2	PSV Eindhoven	32	24	3	5	+42	75
3	Feyenoord	32	21	5	6	+42	68
4	Twente	32	18	8	6	+14	62
5	AZ Alkmaar	28	15	5	8	+17	50
6	Utrecht	30	12	9	9	+9	45
7	Vitesse	28	13	3	12	-9	42
8	Heerenveen	30	10	8	12	-7	38
9	Nijmegen	32	10	8	14	-12	38
10	Groningen	32	9	9	14	-10	36
11	Go Ahead Eagles	32	10	6	16	-11	36
12	Cambuur	32	10	5	17	-18	35
13	Heracles	32	9	7	16	-12	34
14	Waalwijk	32	7	11	14	-15	32
15	For Sittard	32	9	5	18	-31	32
16	Sparta Rotterdam	32	6	11	15	-22	29
17	Willem II	32	8	5	19	-28	29
18	Zwolle	32	7	6	19	-23	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	1	2	+49	40
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	0	3	+26	39
3	Feyenoord	16	11	3	2	+23	36
4	Twente	16	9	5	2	+12	32
5	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	3	2	+15	30
6	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
7	Heracles	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	16	7	1	8	+2	22
9	Willem II	16	6	3	7	-5	21
10	For Sittard	16	6	2	8	-10	20
11	Groningen	16	4	6	6	-2	18
12	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	-3	18
13	Waalwijk	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Cambuur	16	5	2	9	-6	17
15	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Vitesse	14	5	1	8	-10	16
17	Zwolle	16	3	5	8	-6	14
18	Nijmegen	16	3	5	8	-8	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	3	1	+25	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	11	3	2	+16	36
3	Feyenoord	16	10	2	4	+19	32
4	Twente	16	9	3	4	+2	30
5	Vitesse	14	8	2	4	+1	26
6	Nijmegen	16	7	3	6	-4	24
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	2	6	+2	20
8	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-4	20
9	Groningen	16	5	3	8	-8	18
10	Cambuur	16	5	3	8	-12	18
11	Utrecht	15	4	5	6	-3	17
12	Waalwijk	16	2	8	6	-5	14
13	Go Ahead Eagles	16	3	5	8	-13	14
14	Sparta Rotterdam	16	3	4	9	-15	13
15	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-17	13
16	For Sittard	16	3	3	10	-21	12
17	Heracles	16	2	2	12	-15	8
18	Willem II	16	2	2	12	-23	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.