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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Motherwell

S U T T S

2–1

Full-time

Hearts

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 39%

31%

47%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

29% Possession 71%

8 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 6. · Hearts 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	37	28	6	3	+64	90
2	Rangers	36	25	8	3	+44	83
3	Hearts	36	17	10	9	+13	61
4	Livingston	36	12	9	15	-6	45
5	Dundee United	37	11	12	14	-8	45
6	Motherwell	36	11	10	15	-14	43
7	Hibernian	37	10	12	15	-8	42
8	St Mirren	36	10	12	14	-18	42
9	Ross County	36	10	11	15	-10	41
10	Aberdeen	36	10	10	16	-4	40
11	ST Johnstone	36	7	11	18	-24	32
12	Dundee	37	6	11	20	-29	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	15	3	0	+43	48
2	Rangers	18	13	4	1	+25	43
3	Hearts	18	11	4	3	+18	37
4	Aberdeen	18	8	4	6	+6	28
5	Dundee United	19	8	4	7	-2	28
6	Motherwell	18	8	4	6	-3	28
7	Hibernian	18	6	7	5	+2	25
8	Livingston	18	6	5	7	-2	23
9	Ross County	18	5	7	6	-1	22
10	St Mirren	18	4	7	7	-6	19
11	Dundee	19	4	7	8	-9	19
12	ST Johnstone	18	4	5	9	-7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	19	13	3	3	+21	42
2	Rangers	18	12	4	2	+19	40
3	Hearts	18	6	6	6	-5	24
4	St Mirren	18	6	5	7	-12	23
5	Livingston	18	6	4	8	-4	22
6	Ross County	18	5	4	9	-9	19
7	Dundee United	18	3	8	7	-6	17
8	Hibernian	19	4	5	10	-10	17
9	Motherwell	18	3	6	9	-11	15
10	ST Johnstone	18	3	6	9	-17	15
11	Aberdeen	18	2	6	10	-10	12
12	Dundee	18	2	4	12	-20	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.