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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Genk

T S S S S

4–2

Full-time

Mechelen

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 50%

52%

48%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

58%

Both score Ø 55%

52%

58%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

25 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

5 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 7. · Mechelen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	31	24	4	3	+56	76
2	Club Brugge	31	22	5	4	+38	71
3	Anderlecht	31	19	8	4	+46	65
4	Antwerp	31	19	5	7	+21	62
5	Gent	31	16	8	7	+25	56
6	St Truiden	36	16	6	14	+2	54
7	Genk	31	16	5	10	+26	53
8	Charleroi	31	15	7	9	+13	52
9	Mechelen	31	15	5	11	+0	50
10	Cercle Brugge	36	13	9	14	+4	48
11	Kortrijk	36	11	10	15	-1	43
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	10	12	14	-13	42
13	Oostende	36	11	8	17	-26	41
14	Standard	36	10	9	17	-19	39
15	Waregem	36	9	8	19	-30	35
16	Eupen	36	8	9	19	-25	33
17	Seraing United	35	9	4	22	-37	31
18	Seraing	34	8	4	22	-38	28
19	Beerschot VA	36	5	4	27	-41	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	St. Gilloise	16	11	3	2	+23	36
3	Mechelen	16	11	2	3	+14	35
4	Anderlecht	15	10	4	1	+26	34
5	Gent	16	10	3	3	+22	33
6	Genk	15	9	3	3	+22	30
7	Antwerp	15	9	3	3	+12	30
8	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	+5	27
9	Charleroi	15	7	4	4	+10	25
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	7	4	7	-2	25
12	Kortrijk	18	6	4	8	+1	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Oostende	18	5	4	9	-18	19
15	Seraing	17	5	3	9	-14	18
16	Seraing United	17	5	3	9	-14	18
17	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	18	3	5	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	13	1	1	+33	40
2	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+19	34
3	Antwerp	16	10	2	4	+9	32
4	Anderlecht	16	9	4	3	+20	31
5	Charleroi	16	8	3	5	+3	27
6	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
7	Standard	18	7	4	7	-7	25
8	Genk	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Gent	15	6	5	4	+3	23
10	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-1	23
11	Oostende	18	6	4	8	-8	22
12	Kortrijk	18	5	6	7	-2	21
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	8	7	-11	17
14	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Mechelen	15	4	3	8	-14	15
16	Waregem	18	3	4	11	-22	13
17	Seraing United	18	4	1	13	-23	13
18	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
19	Beerschot VA	18	0	3	15	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.