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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Club Brugge
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Genk
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 57%
67%
46%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
70%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
58%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Club Brugge 3. · Genk 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +47 67
2 Anderlecht 27 17 8 2 +44 59
3 Club Brugge 27 18 5 4 +31 59
4 Antwerp 28 18 4 6 +21 58
5 Gent 27 14 7 6 +20 49
6 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
7 Cercle Brugge 34 13 7 14 +4 46
8 St Truiden 33 13 6 14 -4 45
9 Mechelen 28 13 5 10 +0 44
10 Kortrijk 33 11 10 12 +2 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 10 12 12 -7 42
12 Genk 26 12 5 9 +18 41
13 Standard 33 9 9 15 -15 36
14 Oostende 33 10 6 17 -28 36
15 Waregem 34 9 8 17 -25 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 32 8 3 21 -36 27
18 Seraing United 32 8 3 21 -36 27
19 Beerschot VA 33 5 4 24 -33 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Genk
1–0 H. Vanaken
4′
21′
🟨 Ángelo Preciado
39′
J. Ito 1–1
Á. Preciado
41′
🟨 Gerardo Arteaga
Half-time 2–1
2–1 C. De Ketelaere
Clinton Mata
49′
Stanley N'Soki 🟨
52′
55′
🟨 Junya Ito
64′
🟥 Mujaid Sadick
3–1 S. Adamyan
M. Rits
74′
N. Lang 🔁
↦ S. Adamyan
75′
78′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ A. Ouattara
83′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
83′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ J. Paintsil
B. Dost 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 S. Mignolet G
6 D. Odoi M
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
4 S. N'Soki D
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
90 C. De Ketelaere F
9 S. Adamyan F
7 A. Skov Olsen M
17 T. Buchanan M
Bench (10)
10 N. Lang
29 B. Dost
25 R. Vormer
2 E. Sobol
91 S. Lammens
5 J. Hendry
71 J. Van Neck
3 É. Balanta
98 C. Sandra
32 A. Nusa

Coach: A. Schreuder

Genk

5-3-2
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
77 Á. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
4 A. Ouattara M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
7 J. Ito F
28 J. Paintsil F
Bench (8)
24 L. Oyen
10 T. Bongonda
20 B. El Khannous
2 M. McKenzie
17 P. Hrošovský
23 D. Muñoz
40 T. Leysen
35 A. Németh

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
4,06
B
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.