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Pro League

Referee: K Vermeiren

St Truiden

U T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 35%

26%

44%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,18 xG 0,92

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Mechelen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	5	4	+46	+35.7	59
2	St. Gilloise	27	18	4	5	+29	+28.8	58
3	Anderlecht	28	17	7	4	+25	+13.3	58
4	Cercle Brugge	27	16	5	6	+22	+7.8	53
5	Gent	27	14	7	6	+24	+18.4	49
6	Genk	27	12	8	7	+12	+26.0	44
7	Mechelen	27	12	6	9	+5	+2.4	42
8	Antwerp	27	11	7	9	+17	+15.8	40
9	Charleroi	30	9	8	13	-15	-10.5	35
10	St Truiden	27	7	9	11	-16	-13.3	30
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	28	7	8	13	-13	-9.2	29
12	Westerlo	28	6	9	13	-8	-11.9	27
13	Standard	28	5	12	11	-16	-12.6	27
14	RWD Molenbeek	30	6	7	17	-36	-32.4	25
15	Kortrijk	30	6	5	19	-37	-24.9	23
16	Eupen	30	5	3	22	-39	-33.3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	12	1	1	+19	+10.0	37
2	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+30	+20.0	33
3	Cercle Brugge	14	9	3	2	+19	+7.6	30
4	St. Gilloise	14	9	3	2	+17	+14.8	30
5	Gent	14	8	4	2	+17	+12.9	28
6	Genk	13	7	4	2	+11	+17.8	25
7	Mechelen	14	7	4	3	+10	+7.7	25
8	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+16	+14.0	21
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	6	3	5	+5	-1.5	21
10	Charleroi	15	5	5	5	-3	+2.5	20
11	St Truiden	13	5	4	4	-3	-0.1	19
12	Standard	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.0	17
13	Westerlo	14	4	4	6	-4	-3.7	16
14	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-13	-13.5	16
15	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-12	-12.6	14
16	Kortrijk	15	3	3	9	-13	-7.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	1	3	+12	+14.0	28
2	Club Brugge	14	8	2	4	+16	+15.7	26
3	Cercle Brugge	13	7	2	4	+3	+0.2	23
4	Gent	13	6	3	4	+7	+5.5	21
5	Anderlecht	14	5	6	3	+6	+3.2	21
6	Genk	14	5	4	5	+1	+8.2	19
7	Antwerp	14	5	4	5	+1	+1.8	19
8	Mechelen	13	5	2	6	-5	-5.3	17
9	Charleroi	15	4	3	8	-12	-13.0	15
10	Westerlo	14	2	5	7	-4	-8.1	11
11	St Truiden	14	2	5	7	-13	-13.3	11
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-24	-17.6	11
13	Standard	14	1	7	6	-14	-14.6	10
14	RWD Molenbeek	15	2	3	10	-23	-18.9	9
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	1	5	8	-18	-7.7	8
16	Eupen	15	1	1	13	-27	-20.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.