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Pro League

Referee: B Staessens

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T T T U S

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 24%

17%

30%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

57%

48%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,68 xG 0,10

36% Possession 64%

20 Shots 3

11 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · St Truiden 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	23	16	3	4	+24	+25.6	51
2	Anderlecht	23	15	5	3	+22	+13.5	50
3	Cercle Brugge	23	15	4	4	+23	+10.8	49
4	Club Brugge	23	14	5	4	+37	+35.2	47
5	Genk	22	11	8	3	+22	+24.8	41
6	Mechelen	23	11	5	7	+6	+4.9	38
7	Antwerp	23	10	7	6	+23	+17.5	37
8	Gent	22	10	7	5	+18	+15.6	37
9	St Truiden	23	7	7	9	-13	-12.6	28
10	Standard	23	5	9	9	-9	-10.5	24
11	Charleroi	26	5	8	13	-21	-15.2	23
12	RWD Molenbeek	26	5	7	14	-33	-32.9	22
13	Westerlo	23	5	6	12	-12	-13.4	21
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	4	7	12	-14	-10.3	19
15	Kortrijk	26	4	5	17	-35	-23.7	17
16	Eupen	26	4	3	19	-38	-29.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	12	10	1	1	+15	+9.1	31
2	Club Brugge	12	9	3	0	+26	+19.0	30
3	Cercle Brugge	11	8	2	1	+17	+9.2	26
4	St. Gilloise	11	8	2	1	+15	+13.4	26
5	Gent	11	6	4	1	+15	+10.2	22
6	Genk	11	6	4	1	+13	+15.7	22
7	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+9	+7.1	22
8	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+20	+15.2	21
9	St Truiden	12	5	4	3	-1	-1.1	19
10	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
11	Standard	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.2	15
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	4	3	5	+2	-5.1	15
13	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-6	-1.2	14
14	Westerlo	11	4	1	6	-4	-5.3	13
15	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-13	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	13	2	3	8	-12	-7.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	8	1	3	+9	+12.1	25
2	Cercle Brugge	12	7	2	3	+6	+1.6	23
3	Genk	11	5	4	2	+9	+9.1	19
4	Anderlecht	11	5	4	2	+7	+4.4	19
5	Club Brugge	11	5	2	4	+11	+16.2	17
6	Antwerp	12	4	4	4	+3	+2.3	16
7	Mechelen	11	5	1	5	-3	-2.1	16
8	Gent	11	4	3	4	+3	+5.4	15
9	Standard	12	1	6	5	-12	-10.7	9
10	St Truiden	11	2	3	6	-12	-11.5	9
11	Charleroi	13	2	3	8	-15	-13.9	9
12	Westerlo	12	1	5	6	-8	-8.1	8
13	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
14	RWD Molenbeek	13	1	3	9	-23	-20.6	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-16	-5.2	4
16	Eupen	13	1	1	11	-25	-17.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.