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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Eupen
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 49%
14%
83%
Points per game
0,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
64%
75%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,6
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,63 xG 2,52
35% Possession 65%
1 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 14
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 14. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +19 +12.3 31
2 Cercle Brugge 12 10 0 2 +15 +14.5 30
3 Club Brugge 14 8 3 3 +21 +22.6 27
4 Anderlecht 12 8 3 1 +13 +9.6 27
5 Genk 12 6 4 2 +17 +18.7 22
6 Antwerp 11 5 5 1 +18 +12.5 20
7 Gent 12 5 5 2 +5 +5.5 20
8 Standard 13 4 5 4 -5 -12.4 17
9 RWD Molenbeek 15 4 4 7 -16 -17.8 16
10 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 -1 -3.1 15
11 Westerlo 13 3 3 7 -7 -5.8 12
12 St Truiden 11 2 5 4 -8 -6.1 11
13 Charleroi 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.3 11
14 Eupen 14 2 2 10 -20 -21.9 8
15 Kortrijk 15 2 2 11 -27 -14.3 8
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 1 2 9 -14 -6.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen St. Gilloise
Jason Davidson 🟨
11′
21′
M. Amoura 0–1
23′
Cameron Puertas 0–2
C. Vanhoutte
Jan Král 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
A. Filin 🔁
↦ J. Král
46′
49′
ℹ️ Christian Burgess
VAR: Penalty cancelled
49′
ℹ️ Kevin Rodriguez
VAR: Goal cancelled
Isaac Nuhu 🟨
54′
Rune Paeshuyse 🟨
57′
Regan Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ I. Nuhu
63′
J. Déom 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
63′
1–2 J. Davidson
Regan Charles-Cook
66′
78′
🔁 C. Terho
↦ L. Lapoussin
78′
🔁 N. Sadiki
↦ C. Vanhoutte
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ R. Paeshuyse
81′
N. Bitumazala 🔁
↦ B. Baiye
81′
82′
🟨 Jean Thierry Lazare Amani
83′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ M. Amoura
Amadou Keita 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eupen

3-4-3
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
21 J. Král D
2 Y. Van Genechten M
15 G. Magnée M
6 B. Baiye M
3 J. Davidson M
8 K. Möhwald F
7 I. Nuhu F
18 A. Keita F
Bench (7)
25 A. Filin
10 Regan Charles-Cook
14 J. Déom
27 A. Finnbogason
11 N. Bitumazala
99 T. Roufosse
23 I. Christie-Davies

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

St. Gilloise

3-4-3
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
23 Cameron Puertas M
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani F
47 M. Amoura F
13 K. Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
17 C. Terho
27 N. Sadiki
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
14 J. Imbrechts
7 E. Kabangu
19 G. François
26 R. Sykes

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,01
U
6,13
B ✓
1,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,47
U2,5
2,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.