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Europa League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
St. Gilloise
S U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Liverpool
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 62%
43%
80%
Points per game
1,6
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
29%
80%
Both score Ø 45%
29%
60%
Average goals
1,9
4,2
Scored
0,9
3,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,32 xG 0,29
31% Possession 69%
15 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Liverpool
23′
🟨 Conor Bradley
1–0 M. Amoura
G. Nilsson
32′
39′
J. Quansah 1–1
C. Jones
2–1 Cameron Puertas
M. Amoura
43′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 R. Gravenberch
↦ W. Endo
46′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ I. Konaté
Noah Sadiki 🟨
53′
Cameron Puertas ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
63′
🔁 D. Núñez
↦ B. Doak
63′
🔁 C. Scanlon
↦ L. Chambers
75′
🔁 J. McConnell
↦ K. Gordon
K. Rodríguez 🔁
↦ G. Nilsson
78′
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ M. Amoura
84′
D. Eckert Ayensa 🔁
↦ L. Amani
88′
92′
🟨 Calum Scanlon
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
8 L. Amani M
27 N. Sadiki M
10 L. Lapoussin M
23 Cameron Puertas F
29 G. Nilsson F
47 M. Amoura F
Bench (10)
13 K. Rodríguez
4 M. Rasmussen
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
48 F. Leysen
17 C. Terho
14 J. Imbrechts
35 N. Huygevelde
11 H. Teklab
34 M. Wenssens
26 R. Sykes

Coach: A. Blessin

Liverpool

4-3-3
62 C. Kelleher G
84 C. Bradley D
5 I. Konaté D
78 J. Quansah D
44 L. Chambers D
19 H. Elliott M
3 W. Endo M
17 C. Jones M
49 K. Gordon F
18 C. Gakpo F
50 B. Doak F
Bench (12)
38 R. Gravenberch
2 J. Gomez
9 D. Núñez
48 C. Scanlon
53 J. McConnell
45 Marcelo Pitaluga
93 F. Mrozek
83 T. Hill
21 K. Tsimikas
8 D. Szoboszlai
7 L. Díaz
67 L. Koumas

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.