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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Genk

U S S S U

1–0

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 64%

47%

80%

Points per game

1,8

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

53%

75%

Both score Ø 62%

53%

70%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,9

2,4

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,97 xG 1,27

46% Possession 54%

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 7. · St. Gilloise 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+27	+22.6	51
2	Anderlecht	21	14	5	2	+23	+14.9	47
3	Cercle Brugge	21	14	3	4	+22	+11.7	45
4	Club Brugge	21	12	5	4	+32	+34.4	41
5	Antwerp	21	10	7	4	+27	+19.8	37
6	Mechelen	21	10	5	6	+6	+0.7	35
7	Genk	19	9	7	3	+20	+23.9	34
8	Gent	20	9	7	4	+16	+11.0	34
9	St Truiden	21	6	6	9	-14	-10.2	24
10	Standard	21	5	7	9	-9	-11.7	22
11	Westerlo	21	5	6	10	-8	-7.9	21
12	Charleroi	24	4	7	13	-22	-14.9	19
13	RWD Molenbeek	24	4	6	14	-35	-32.8	18
14	Kortrijk	24	4	4	16	-34	-24.0	16
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	3	6	12	-15	-8.2	15
16	Eupen	24	4	2	18	-36	-29.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.8	28
2	Cercle Brugge	11	8	2	1	+17	+9.2	26
3	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
4	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
5	Gent	11	6	4	1	+15	+10.2	22
6	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
7	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
8	Genk	9	5	3	1	+12	+16.1	18
9	St Truiden	11	5	3	3	-1	-0.7	18
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.6	14
11	Westerlo	10	4	1	5	-1	-2.0	13
12	Charleroi	12	3	4	5	-6	-0.5	13
13	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	+1	-3.7	12
15	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	-11.2	10
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	11	5	2	4	+11	+16.2	17
5	Genk	10	4	4	2	+8	+7.8	16
6	Antwerp	11	4	4	3	+6	+3.3	16
7	Mechelen	11	5	1	5	-3	-2.1	16
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	Westerlo	11	1	5	5	-7	-5.8	8
10	Standard	11	1	5	5	-12	-11.2	8
11	Kortrijk	12	2	1	9	-23	-17.0	7
12	St Truiden	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.5	6
13	Charleroi	12	1	3	8	-16	-14.4	6
14	RWD Molenbeek	12	1	2	9	-23	-21.3	5
15	Eupen	12	1	1	10	-23	-18.2	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-16	-4.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.