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Ligue 2
Referee: B Millot
Ajaccio
U U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Auxerre
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 43%
34%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
52%
Both score Ø 48%
34%
62%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 13. · Auxerre 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 29 15 10 4 +25 55
2 Angers 30 16 5 9 +12 53
3 St Etienne 30 15 6 9 +15 51
4 Laval 30 13 9 8 +5 48
5 Rodez 30 12 10 8 +8 46
6 Caen 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Guingamp 30 11 10 9 +6 43
8 Paris FC 30 11 10 9 +4 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 10 9 +1 43
10 Amiens 30 10 12 8 -2 42
11 Grenoble 30 10 11 9 +3 41
12 Bordeaux 30 10 9 11 -5 39
13 Ajaccio 29 10 8 11 -5 38
14 Bastia 30 10 7 13 -7 37
15 Dunkerque 30 10 7 13 -13 37
16 Troyes 30 8 11 11 -4 35
17 Annecy 30 8 9 13 -5 33
18 Concarneau 30 9 6 15 -12 33
19 Quevilly Rouen 30 5 13 12 -4 28
20 Valenciennes 30 2 11 17 -25 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Auxerre
Christopher Ibayi 🟨
15′
27′
C. Avinel 1–0
own goal
43′
🔁 S. Agouzoul
↦ Jubal
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Clement Akpa
R. Nouri 🔁
↦ V. Jacob
50′
61′
🟨 Saad Agouzoul
62′
🔁 L. Sinayoko
↦ I. Soumaré
M. Soumano 🔁
↦ S. Quemper
68′
75′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ G. Perrin
Ben Touré 🟨
86′
O. Martinez-Jullien 🔁
↦ T. Jabol-Folcarelli
86′
R. Coutinho da Silva 🔁
↦ C. Ibayi
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
20 M. Youssouf D
21 C. Avinel D
5 C. Vidal D
31 T. Strata D
10 V. Jacob M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
4 M. Barreto M
3 S. Quemper M
18 C. Ibayi F
11 B. Touré F
Bench (7)
7 R. Nouri
22 M. Soumano
33 O. Martinez-Jullien
34 R. Coutinho da Silva
44 J. Escartin
1 M. Michel
35 A. Khelifa

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Auxerre

4-4-2
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
5 T. Pellenard D
13 C. Akpa D
75 I. Soumaré M
42 E. Owusu M
97 R. Raveloson M
10 G. Perrin M
19 F. Ayé F
45 A. Onaiwu F
Bench (7)
6 S. Agouzoul
17 L. Sinayoko
18 A. Dioussé
11 E. Maddy
40 T. De Percin
35 K. Danois
8 N. Buayi-Kiala

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,67
U
3,04
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.