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Serie B

Referee: S Sozza

Spezia

U T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Ascoli

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 22%

20%

23%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

47%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 18. · Ascoli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	30	19	8	3	+27	65
2	Venezia	30	17	6	7	+21	57
3	Cremonese	30	16	8	6	+16	56
4	Como	30	16	7	7	+10	55
5	Palermo	30	14	7	9	+11	49
6	Catanzaro	30	14	7	9	+8	49
7	Sampdoria	30	12	6	12	-3	42
8	Brescia	30	9	12	9	+2	39
9	Sudtirol	30	10	8	12	+0	38
10	Modena	31	8	14	9	-5	38
11	Cittadella	30	10	8	12	-5	38
12	Pisa	30	9	10	11	-2	37
13	Reggiana	30	7	16	7	-2	37
14	Bari	31	7	14	10	-8	35
15	Cosenza	30	8	10	12	-2	34
16	Ternana	30	8	8	14	-5	32
17	Ascoli	30	7	10	13	-4	31
18	Spezia	30	6	13	11	-14	31
19	FeralpiSalo	30	7	6	17	-15	27
20	Lecco	30	5	6	19	-30	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Parma	15	9	6	0	+13	33
3	Como	15	9	4	2	+9	31
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Palermo	15	8	1	6	+7	25
7	Cittadella	16	7	3	6	+3	24
8	Bari	15	5	7	3	+1	22
9	Sudtirol	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Brescia	15	5	6	4	+2	21
11	Modena	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Ascoli	15	4	6	5	+3	18
13	Pisa	15	4	6	5	+0	18
14	Ternana	16	4	6	6	+0	18
15	Sampdoria	15	5	3	7	-3	18
16	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	+2	17
17	Reggiana	15	2	10	3	-3	16
18	Spezia	14	3	6	5	-2	15
19	FeralpiSalo	15	3	3	9	-5	12
20	Lecco	14	3	1	10	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	10	2	3	+14	32
2	Cremonese	15	9	3	3	+7	30
3	Venezia	15	7	3	5	+8	24
4	Palermo	15	6	6	3	+4	24
5	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
6	Sampdoria	15	7	3	5	+0	24
7	Catanzaro	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Reggiana	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Pisa	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
11	Modena	15	3	9	3	-4	18
12	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	-4	17
14	Spezia	16	3	7	6	-12	16
15	FeralpiSalo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
16	Ternana	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Cittadella	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-7	13
19	Bari	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	Lecco	16	2	5	9	-17	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.