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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Genk

S U S T T

1–1

Full-time

St. Gilloise

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 73%

70%

76%

Points per game

2,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

73%

Both score Ø 66%

61%

70%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

2,4

2,1

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

14 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 3. · St. Gilloise 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	34	25	4	5	+39	79
2	St. Gilloise	33	25	4	4	+33	79
3	Genk	33	23	6	4	+45	75
4	Gent	34	20	6	8	+40	66
5	Club Brugge	34	18	7	9	+28	61
6	Cercle Brugge	34	14	12	8	+8	54
7	Charleroi	35	16	6	13	+2	54
8	Anderlecht	35	15	7	13	+11	52
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	14	9	13	+12	51
10	St Truiden	36	13	9	14	-1	48
11	Westerlo	34	12	11	11	+5	47
12	Standard	33	13	7	13	+0	46
13	Mechelen	35	11	7	17	-18	40
14	Kortrijk	36	10	7	19	-22	37
15	Waregem	36	7	10	19	-26	31
16	Eupen	36	8	7	21	-36	31
17	Oostende	36	7	7	22	-40	28
18	Seraing	34	5	5	24	-40	20
19	Seraing United	34	5	5	24	-40	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	16	15	1	0	+35	46
2	Antwerp	17	15	1	1	+28	46
3	St. Gilloise	17	14	1	2	+18	43
4	Club Brugge	17	11	4	2	+27	37
5	Gent	17	10	4	3	+15	34
6	Cercle Brugge	17	8	7	2	+11	31
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	8	5	5	+10	29
8	Mechelen	18	7	6	5	+1	27
9	Charleroi	17	8	2	7	+4	26
10	Westerlo	17	7	4	6	+11	25
11	Anderlecht	18	7	4	7	+6	25
12	St Truiden	18	7	4	7	+2	25
13	Standard	16	7	3	6	+5	24
14	Kortrijk	18	5	5	8	-12	20
15	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-13	16
16	Oostende	18	5	1	12	-16	16
17	Waregem	18	4	4	10	-17	16
18	Seraing	17	1	4	12	-21	7
19	Seraing United	17	1	4	12	-21	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	16	11	3	2	+15	36
2	Antwerp	17	10	3	4	+11	33
3	Gent	17	10	2	5	+25	32
4	Genk	17	8	5	4	+10	29
5	Charleroi	18	8	4	6	-2	28
6	Anderlecht	17	8	3	6	+5	27
7	Club Brugge	17	7	3	7	+1	24
8	Cercle Brugge	17	6	5	6	-3	23
9	St Truiden	18	6	5	7	-3	23
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	6	4	8	+2	22
11	Standard	17	6	4	7	-5	22
12	Westerlo	17	5	7	5	-6	22
13	Kortrijk	18	5	2	11	-10	17
14	Waregem	18	3	6	9	-9	15
15	Eupen	18	4	3	11	-23	15
16	Seraing	17	4	1	12	-19	13
17	Seraing United	17	4	1	12	-19	13
18	Mechelen	17	4	1	12	-19	13
19	Oostende	18	2	6	10	-24	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.