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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Genk

S S T U S

0–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,0

4,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

70%

52%

Both score Ø 69%

80%

57%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,75 xG 0,62

44% Possession 56%

16 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	22	18	1	3	+23	+10.7	55
2	St. Gilloise	22	15	7	0	+28	+22.6	52
3	St Truiden	22	13	2	7	+10	+14.4	41
4	Mechelen	22	10	8	4	+10	-6.8	38
5	Gent	20	11	3	6	+8	+3.4	36
6	Genk	20	9	5	6	+5	+5.8	32
7	Cercle Brugge	26	8	7	11	-2	+0.3	31
8	Westerlo	22	7	7	8	-4	+2.1	28
9	Anderlecht	21	7	6	8	+1	+3.5	27
10	Antwerp	22	7	5	10	+0	-4.2	26
11	Standard	22	7	5	10	-12	-9.5	26
12	Waregem	25	7	4	14	-10	-7.3	25
13	Charleroi	22	6	4	12	-7	-4.0	22
14	RAAL La Louviere	26	4	10	12	-13	-10.0	22
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	5	6	10	-11	-5.8	21
16	Dender	25	3	6	16	-26	-15.2	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	11	0	0	+22	+12.4	33
2	Club Brugge	11	8	1	2	+10	+4.2	25
3	St Truiden	11	7	0	4	+1	+6.9	21
4	Gent	10	6	1	3	+8	+1.2	19
5	Genk	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.6	17
6	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-1	-0.7	17
7	Mechelen	11	4	4	3	+2	-2.9	16
8	Antwerp	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.3	15
9	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+1	+3.4	15
10	Anderlecht	10	3	4	3	+5	+6.8	13
11	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-2	-1.9	12
12	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	6	5	-5	-2.9	12
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	2	4	5	-2	-1.4	10
14	Cercle Brugge	13	2	3	8	-7	+0.3	9
15	Standard	11	1	5	5	-8	-3.3	8
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-16	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	11	10	0	1	+13	+6.5	30
2	Mechelen	11	6	4	1	+8	-3.9	22
3	Cercle Brugge	13	6	4	3	+5	+0.0	22
4	St Truiden	11	6	2	3	+9	+7.5	20
5	St. Gilloise	11	4	7	0	+6	+10.2	19
6	Standard	11	6	0	5	-4	-6.2	18
7	Gent	10	5	2	3	+0	+2.2	17
8	Genk	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.8	15
9	Anderlecht	11	4	2	5	-4	-3.3	14
10	Westerlo	11	3	4	4	-5	-1.3	13
11	Antwerp	11	3	2	6	-1	-3.9	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
13	Charleroi	11	3	1	7	-5	-2.1	10
14	RAAL La Louviere	13	2	4	7	-8	-7.1	10
15	Dender	13	2	4	7	-10	-9.2	10
16	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-9	-6.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.