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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Antwerp
S T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
33%
27%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,56 xG 1,45
51% Possession 49%
23 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 9. · Anderlecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 9 3 0 +21 +15.8 30
2 Club Brugge 12 9 1 2 +11 +5.7 28
3 Mechelen 13 7 4 2 +7 -3.4 25
4 St Truiden 10 6 2 2 +4 +8.8 20
5 Gent 10 6 1 3 +3 +1.7 19
6 Anderlecht 11 5 3 3 +3 +4.6 18
7 Waregem 14 5 3 6 -2 -7.8 18
8 Westerlo 13 4 5 4 +1 +5.2 17
9 Antwerp 12 4 3 5 +0 -4.0 15
10 Standard 13 4 3 6 -8 -6.0 15
11 RAAL La Louviere 14 3 4 7 -6 -8.7 13
12 Genk 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.9 12
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 3 3 5 -4 -2.5 12
14 Charleroi 13 3 3 7 -5 -1.6 12
15 Cercle Brugge 14 2 4 8 -6 +2.1 10
16 Dender 15 1 3 11 -19 -11.8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp Anderlecht
15′
🟨 Enric Llansana
1–0 V. Janssen
16′
2–0 T. Somers
C. Scott
19′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 M. Cvetkovic
↦ E. Llansana
49′
T. Hazard 2–1
52′
🟨 Adriano Bertaccini
D. Praet 🔁
↦ X. Dierckx
68′
72′
🔁 Y. Ozcan
↦ A. Bertaccini
I. Babadi 🔁
↦ M. Al Sahafi
73′
73′
🔁 T. Degreef
↦ M. N'Diaye
83′
🔁 I. Kanate
↦ N. Saliba
87′
T. Degreef 2–2
A. Valencia 🔁
↦ T. Somers
89′
89′
🔁 L. Vazquez
↦ T. Hazard
D. Foulon 🔁
↦ C. Scott
90′
91′
🟨 Ali Maamar
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-4-3
41 T. Nozawa G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
25 K. Kouyate D
26 R. Bozhinov D
24 T. Somers M
78 X. Dierckx M
16 M. Benitez M
30 C. Scott M
9 M. Al Sahafi F
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Thoelen
5 D. Foulon
8 D. Praet
10 I. Babadi
14 A. Valencia
17 S. Renders
21 A. Verstraeten
34 M. Diawara
79 G. Vandeplas

Coach: Faris Haroun

Anderlecht

5-3-2
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
54 K. Sardella D
3 L. Hey D
5 M. N'Diaye D
19 N. Angulo D
74 N. De Cat M
24 E. Llansana M
13 N. Saliba M
91 A. Bertaccini F
11 T. Hazard F
Bench (9)
15 M. Ilic
58 Y. Ozcan
83 T. Degreef
99 I. Kanate
78 A. Tajaouart
10 Y. Verschaeren
9 M. Cvetkovic
20 L. Vazquez
16 M. Kikkenborg

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
3,33
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.