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Belgisk cup
Anderlecht
U U U S T
2–0
Full-time
Ninove
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Ninove
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
4,2
Scored
0,5
3,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heist 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Jong Lede 5 3 2 0 +13 11
3 Eendracht Termien 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 DT Borsbeke 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Voorde Appelterre 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Ninove 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Braine 4 3 0 1 +4 9
8 Londerzeel 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 Oudenaarde 4 3 0 1 +4 9
10 Knokke 3 3 0 0 +4 9
11 Meix-Devant-Virton 4 3 0 1 +1 9
12 FC Du Geer 4 2 2 0 +2 8
13 Arquet 5 2 2 1 +0 8
14 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
15 Wezel 3 2 1 0 +6 7
16 Tubize 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 City Pirates Antwerpen 3 2 1 0 +5 7
18 Schoonbeek-Beverst 4 2 1 1 +4 7
19 Cappellen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
20 RFC Wetteren 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Gullegem 4 2 1 1 +0 7
22 Tempo Overijse 4 2 1 1 +0 7
23 Nijlen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
24 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Dessel Sport 3 2 0 1 +3 6
26 Turkse Rangers 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Westhoek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
28 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Acren-Lessines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
30 Evelette-Jallet 3 2 0 1 +2 6
31 Rumbeke 3 2 0 1 +2 6
32 Diksmuide 3 2 0 1 +2 6
33 Erpe-Mere United 3 2 0 1 +2 6
34 Houtvenne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
35 Merelbeke 3 2 0 1 +2 6
36 Jodoigne 3 2 0 1 +1 6
37 Rotselaar 3 2 0 1 +1 6
38 Hoogstraten 3 2 0 1 +1 6
39 Lille 3 2 0 1 +1 6
40 Zwevegem Sport 3 2 0 1 +0 6
41 Marke 3 2 0 1 -1 6
42 Sporting Hasselt 2 1 1 0 +6 4
43 Elsautoise 2 1 1 0 +5 4
44 Excelsior Virton 3 1 1 1 +3 4
45 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
46 Latem 3 1 1 1 +2 4
47 Sprimont 3 1 1 1 +2 4
48 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
49 Achel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 FC Lebbeke 2 1 0 1 +6 3
51 Zepperen-Brustem 2 1 0 1 +6 3
52 De Kempen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Liège 1 1 0 0 +4 3
54 Blankenberge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
55 Léopold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
56 Kortrijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
57 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Wellen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 Crossing Schaerbeek 2 1 0 1 +2 3
60 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 2 1 0 1 +2 3
61 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +2 3
62 Berg en Dal 2 1 0 1 +2 3
63 Albert Quévy-Mons 2 1 0 1 +2 3
64 RWD Molenbeek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Olympic Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +2 3
67 Seraing United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
68 K. Lierse S.K. 1 1 0 0 +2 3
69 Biesme 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
71 Sint-Lenaarts 2 1 0 1 +1 3
72 La Calamine 2 1 0 1 +1 3
73 Etterbeek 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
75 Wanze / Bas-Oha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
76 Lauwe 2 1 0 1 +1 3
77 Patro Eisden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
78 Eupen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
79 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
80 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
81 Berchem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
82 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 0 1 +0 3
83 Saint-Vith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
84 Messancy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
85 Club Roeselare 2 1 0 1 +0 3
86 Meux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
87 Ganshoren 2 1 0 1 +0 3
88 Thes Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
89 Sporting Bruxelles 2 1 0 1 -1 3
90 Mandel United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
91 Harelbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
92 Grand-Leez 2 1 0 1 -1 3
93 Elene-Grotenberge 2 1 0 1 -1 3
94 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 -1 3
95 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
96 La Hulpe 2 1 0 1 -2 3
97 Haasdonk 2 1 0 1 -2 3
98 Gosselies Sports 2 1 0 1 -2 3
99 Le Roeulx 2 1 0 1 -2 3
100 Jette 2 1 0 1 -2 3
101 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 -2 3
102 KBSK Retie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
103 Zwarte Leeuw 2 1 0 1 -3 3
104 Hades 2 1 0 1 -4 3
105 RESC Houffaloise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
106 Sparta Petegem 2 0 2 0 +0 2
107 PAC Buzet 3 0 2 1 -1 2
108 Onhaye 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Antoing 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Tilffois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Aische 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Meux II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Stade Everois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Esperanza Pelt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Habay-la-Neuve 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Lokeren-Temse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Roeselare Daisel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Molenbaix 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Stade Verviers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Huldenberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Olsa Brakel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Torhout 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Rupel Boom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Entité Manageoise 2 0 1 1 -1 1
125 Ostiches 2 0 1 1 -2 1
126 Fenixx BeigHum 2 0 1 1 -2 1
127 Betekom 2 0 1 1 -2 1
128 Bioul 2 0 1 1 -3 1
129 RAS Monceau 2 0 1 1 -3 1
130 Ezaart Sport Mol 2 0 1 1 -4 1
131 Marloie Sport 2 0 1 1 -4 1
132 Sparta Waasmunster 2 0 1 1 -7 1
133 Berlaar-Heikant 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 KRC Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Mormont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Verlaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Stockay-Warfusée 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Wambeek-Ternat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Harre-Manhay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Waterloo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Zelzate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 HO Kalken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Geel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Tournai 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Francs Borains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Zonhoven United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Racing Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Luingnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Verlaine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 Hannut 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 La Louvière Centre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 VW Hamme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Bocholt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Union Namur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Dessel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Lommel United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Stade Mouscronnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
161 Sparta Heestert 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Rochefort 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Torpedo Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Loyers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Eendracht Aalter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Libramont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Tienen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Avanti 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Aywaille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Condruzien 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Tongeren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 KSK Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 Landen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
179 FC Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
180 Denderhoutem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Ardooie 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Flénu 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Sint-Denijs Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 Berlare 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Bevel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Rochefort II 1 0 0 1 -4 0
188 Grobbendonk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Longlier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
190 Pepingen-Halle 1 0 0 1 -4 0
191 Herk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
192 Galmaarden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Union Momalloise 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Noduwez 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Herent 1 0 0 1 -5 0
196 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -5 0
197 Elewijt 1 0 0 1 -5 0
198 Eeklo Meetjesland 1 0 0 1 -5 0
199 Noordstar Noorderwijk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
200 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -8 0
201 Wallonia Libin 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Ninove
1–0 A. Bertaccini
10′
2–0 C. S. Huerta Valera
21′
38′
🟨 N. De Raes
Half-time 2–0
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ C. S. Huerta Valera
46′
46′
🔁 Y. Verbeken
↦ E. Achak
46′
🔁 S. Mukandila
↦ N. De Raes
M. Ilic 🟨
60′
M. Kana 🔁
↦ M. Ilic
63′
T. Degreef 🔁
↦ A. Bertaccini
63′
68′
🔁 D. Oger
↦ E. Van Den Borre
68′
🔁 T. Osei Berkoe
↦ L. Matarrese
A. Tajaouart 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
71′
72′
🔁 D. Diwoto Junior
↦ J. Jourquin
M. Cvetkovic 🔁
↦ L. Vazquez
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

16 M. Kikkenborg
3 L. Hey
6 L. Augustinsson
10 Y. Verschaeren
13 N. Saliba
15 M. Ilic
20 L. Vazquez
21 C. S. Huerta Valera
29 M. Stroeykens
91 A. Bertaccini
54 K. Sardella
Bench (9)
26 C. Coosemans
7 I. Camara
9 M. Cvetkovic
19 N. Angulo
55 M. Kana
58 Y. Ozcan
78 A. Tajaouart
79 A. Maamar
83 T. Degreef

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Ninove

1 W. Van Der Perren
4 J. Jourquin
6 A. Zaanan
7 L. de Geyndt
8 J. Mputu
12 J. De Vriendt
13 M. Meert
22 L. Matarrese
79 N. De Raes
80 E. Van Den Borre
33 E. Achak
Bench (9)
25 S. Bellemans
3 Y. Verbeken
9 S. Mukandila
10 D. Oger
11 T. Osei Berkoe
26 J. Onderbeke
70 O. Romero
94 D. Diwoto Junior
99 R. Van Der Perren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.