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Super League
Referee: L Tschudi
Lausanne
S U U U S
0–4
Full-time
Luzern
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,0
3,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 26%
29%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
71%
78%
Both score Ø 75%
71%
78%
Average goals
2,9
3,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 8. · Luzern 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 19 13 1 5 +16 +1.2 40
2 St. Gallen 18 11 1 6 +15 +4.2 34
3 Basel 19 9 5 5 +8 +12.3 32
4 Lugano 18 9 3 6 +2 -0.5 30
5 Young Boys 18 8 5 5 +3 +0.6 29
6 Sion 18 7 6 5 +4 +3.4 27
7 Zurich 19 7 3 9 -7 +2.2 24
8 Lausanne 17 5 6 6 +4 +4.6 21
9 Servette 18 5 5 8 -6 +2.1 20
10 Luzern 18 4 6 8 -4 -3.0 18
11 Grasshoppers 18 4 5 9 -8 -12.4 17
12 Winterthur 18 2 4 12 -27 -14.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Oct -25 Luzern – Lausanne 2–2 11. May -25 Luzern – Lausanne 1–1 30. Mar -25 Lausanne – Luzern 1–4 19. Jan -25 Lausanne – Luzern 0–0 5. Oct -24 Luzern – Lausanne 2–2

Match report

Lausanne Luzern
B. Okoh 🔁
↦ H. Abdallah
26′
Abdou Karim Sow 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Taisei Abe
A. Ajdini 🔁
↦ E. Kana-Biyik
57′
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ N. Butler-Oyedeji
57′
61′
⚽ K. Spadanuda 0–1
M. Di Giusto
68′
🔁 A. Grbic
↦ J. Von Moos
O. Custodio 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
72′
A. Lachhab 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
72′
78′
🟨 Rúben Dantas
79′
🔁 L. M. Silva Ferreira
↦ M. Di Giusto
89′
⚽ L. M. Silva Ferreira 0–2
K. Spadanuda
90′
⚽ L. Villiger 0–3
T. Owusu
90′
⚽ L. Villiger 0–4
S. Ottiger
96′
🟨 Lars Villiger
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
20 H. Abdallah D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
18 M. Poaty D
38 G. Sigua M
8 J. Roche M
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji M
91 F. Mollet M
22 E. Kana-Biyik F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
5 B. Okoh
7 A. Ajdini
10 O. Custodio
50 L. Bittarelli
51 I. Bah Mendes
54 R. Lippo
56 A. Lachhab
93 S. Fofana

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
2 S. Ottiger D
46 B. Freimann D
4 A. Bajrami D
22 R. Dantas D
24 T. Owusu M
6 T. Abe M
7 K. Spadanuda M
11 M. Di Giusto M
27 L. Villiger F
81 J. Von Moos F
Bench (9)
9 A. Grbic
10 S. Karweina
16 O. Kabwit
19 A. Vasovic
29 L. Winkler
34 D. Xhemalija
45 E. Sadikaj
73 L. M. Silva Ferreira
90 V. Vasic

Coach: Mario Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Tschudi · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.