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Super League
Referee: V Fotias
AEK
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 58%
80%
36%
Points per game
2,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
27%
79%
Both score Ø 32%
27%
36%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
7 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · OFI Crete 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 PAOK 16 12 2 2 +21 38
3 AEK 15 12 1 2 +15 37
4 Levadeiakos 15 7 5 3 +17 26
5 Volos NFC 16 8 1 7 -2 25
6 Panathinaikos 15 6 5 4 +4 23
7 Aris Thessalonikis 15 5 5 5 -3 20
8 Aris 15 5 5 5 -3 20
9 Kifisia 16 4 6 6 -2 18
10 Panetolikos 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 OFI Crete 14 5 0 9 -8 15
12 Asteras Tripolis 17 2 8 7 -5 14
13 Atromitos 16 3 4 9 -7 13
14 Larisa 16 1 6 9 -15 9
15 Panserraikos 15 1 3 11 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
2′
E. Salcedo 0–1
T. Nuss
14′
🔁 L. Shengelia
↦ T. Fountas
James Penrice 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Borja Gonzalez Tejada
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ M. Grujic
46′
A. Koita 🔁
↦ D. Kaloskamis
46′
Luka Jović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
1–1 R. Ljubicic
54′
55′
🟨 Eddie Salcedo
59′
🟨 Krešimir Krizmanić
2–1 L. Jovic
R. Marin
67′
Petros Mantalos 🟨
71′
S. Pilios 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
72′
Robert Ljubičić 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 K. Lewis
↦ Z. Karachalios
78′
🔁 F. Bainovic
↦ K. Kostoulas
78′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ T. Nuss
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ Joao Mario
79′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ R. Ljubicic
87′
Lazaros Rota 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Juan Angel Neira
89′
🔁 M. Rakonjac
↦ B. Gonzalez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
44 F. Relvas D
29 J. Penrice D
4 M. Grujic M
18 R. Marin M
23 R. Ljubicic M
17 D. Kaloskamis
10 Joao Mario M
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
2 H. Moukoudi
3 S. Pilios
28 M. Odubajo
34 C. Kosidis
55 K. Chrysopoulos
20 P. Mantalos
7 D. Kutesa
11 A. Koita
19 N. Eliasson

Coach: Marko Nikolic

OFI Crete

5-4-1
1 K. Lilo G
17 B. Gonzalez D
5 K. Kostoulas D
24 V. Lampropoulos D
2 K. Krizmanic D
21 I. Apostolakis D
11 T. Fountas M
6 Z. Karachalios M
14 A. Androutsos M
18 T. Nuss M
9 E. Salcedo F
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
31 N. Christogeorgos
4 N. Marinakis
34 K. Lewis
22 G. Christopoulos
25 F. Bainovic
8 I. Vukotic
10 J. Neira
90 P. Kenourgiakis
70 E. Faitakis
27 L. Shengelia
77 M. Rakonjac

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,15
U
6,70
B
14,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.