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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Sevilla
U S T U T
0–3
Full-time
Barcelona
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
6 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 15. · Barcelona 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Betis 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Ath Madrid 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Celta 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 -1 7
9 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Mallorca 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Girona 4 1 1 2 +0 4
12 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Valencia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Barcelona
9′
🟨 Ousmane Dembélé
21′
Raphinha 0–1
28′
🟨 Alejandro Balde
Joan Jordán 🟨
33′
36′
R. Lewandowski 0–2
J. Koundé
Half-time 0–2
José Ángel Carmona 🔁
↦ N. Gudelj
46′
T. Delaney 🔁
↦ Joan Jordán
46′
50′
Eric García 0–3
J. Koundé
54′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ Eric García
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
56′
63′
🔁 F. de Jong
↦ Pedri
63′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ O. Dembélé
Suso 🔁
↦ G. Montiel
64′
64′
🔁 Jordi Alba
↦ Álex Balde
José Ángel Carmona 🟨
66′
P. Gómez 🔁
↦ Isco
70′
74′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ R. Lewandowski
75′
🟨 Ronald Araújo
89′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
2 G. Montiel D
20 Fernando D
14 T. Nianzou D
19 M. Acuña D
8 Joan Jordán M
6 N. Gudelj M
10 I. Rakitić M
17 E. Lamela F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
22 Isco F
Bench (12)
30 José Ángel Carmona
18 T. Delaney
5 K. Dolberg
7 Suso
24 P. Gómez
21 Óliver Torres
1 M. Dmitrović
16 Navas
29 Kike Salas
31 Alberto Flores
12 Rafa Mir
3 Alex Telles

Coach: Lopetegui

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araújo D
24 Eric García D
28 Álex Balde D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 O. Dembélé F
Bench (12)
20 Sergi Roberto
21 F. de Jong
11 Ferran Torres
18 Jordi Alba
10 Ansu Fati
14 M. Depay
19 F. Kessie
36 Arnau Tenas
15 A. Christensen
26 Iñaki Peña
16 M. Pjanić
3 Piqué

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,48
U
3,74
B ✓
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.