Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

Man City

S S S U S

6–0

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Man City Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

4,5

1,8

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

4,5

1,8

Scored

3,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

75% Possession 25%

17 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man City 2. · Nott'm Forest 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Man City	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Tottenham	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Leeds	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Fulham	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Southampton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Brentford	5	1	3	1	+3	6
10	Newcastle	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Man United	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	+8	5
13	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Nott'm Forest	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Everton	5	0	3	2	-2	3
16	Aston Villa	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Bournemouth	4	1	0	3	-14	3
19	Wolves	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Leicester	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+9	4
7	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	3
8	Man United	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Newcastle	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
11	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Liverpool	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Leicester	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Bournemouth	2	0	0	2	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.