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Premier League
Referee: D England
Man City
U S S S U
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,7
Scored
3,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

74% Possession 26%
18 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · Crystal Palace 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Man City 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Leeds 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Tottenham 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Man United 4 2 0 2 -3 6
7 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Fulham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +3 4
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Southampton 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -5 3
16 Liverpool 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Everton 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Wolves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Leicester 3 0 1 2 -3 1
20 West Ham 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man City Crystal Palace
4′
J. Stones 1–0
own goal
21′
J. Andersen 1–1
E. Eze
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Bernardo Silva
Rodri
53′
57′
🔁 C. Richards
↦ T. Mitchell
İ. Gündoğan 🔁
↦ João Cancelo
61′
J. Álvarez 🔁
↦ R. Mahrez
61′
3–1 E. Haaland
P. Foden
62′
67′
🔁 W. Hughes
↦ O. Édouard
4–1 E. Haaland
J. Stones
70′
74′
🔁 M. Olise
↦ N. Clyne
74′
🔁 J. Mateta
↦ J. Ayew
5–1 E. Haaland
İ. Gündoğan
81′
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ E. Haaland
84′
Phil Foden 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Jean-Philippe Mateta
88′
🟨 Marc Guéhi
C. Palmer 🔁
↦ K. De Bruyne
89′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
5 J. Stones D
3 Rúben Dias D
7 João Cancelo D
20 Bernardo Silva M
16 Rodri M
26 R. Mahrez M
17 K. De Bruyne M
47 P. Foden M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
8 İ. Gündoğan
19 J. Álvarez
21 Sergio Gómez
80 C. Palmer
82 R. Lewis
18 S. Ortega
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
81 C. Gomes
96 B. Knight

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Crystal Palace

5-4-1
13 Guaita G
17 N. Clyne D
2 J. Ward D
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guéhi D
3 T. Mitchell D
9 J. Ayew M
28 C. Doucouré M
15 J. Schlupp M
10 E. Eze M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
26 C. Richards
19 W. Hughes
7 M. Olise
14 J. Mateta
23 M. Ebiowei
41 J. Whitworth
21 S. Johnstone
4 L. Milivojević
78 K. Rodney

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
U
7,56
B
15,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.