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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Ath Madrid

S T S U S

4–1

Full-time

Celta

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

10 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 7. · Celta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+14	13
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Celta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
12	Valencia	5	2	0	3	+2	6
13	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Elche	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Cadiz	5	0	0	5	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.