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Champions League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Celtic
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 46%
67%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Shakhtar Donetsk – Celtic 1–1

Match report

Celtic Shakhtar Donetsk
31′
🟨 Mykola Matviyenko
1–0 G. Giakoumakis ⚽
34′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Valeriy Bondar
56′
🟨 Taras Stepanenko
57′
🔁 D. Sikan
↦ L. Traoré
58′
⚽ M. Mudryk 1–1
D. Sikan
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
65′
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ L. Abada
65′
D. Maeda 🔁
↦ S. Hakšabanović
66′
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
84′
90′
🟨 Oleksandr Zubkov
90′
🔁 S. Kryvtsov
↦ H. Sudakov
90′
🔁 I. Petryak
↦ M. Mudryk
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-4-2
1 J. Hart G
88 J. Juranović D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 M. Jenz D
3 G. Taylor D
11 L. Abada M
33 M. O'Riley M
41 R. Hatate M
9 S. Hakšabanović M
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (10)
13 A. Mooy
49 J. Forrest
38 D. Maeda
14 D. Turnbull
16 J. McCarthy
31 B. Siegrist
25 A. Bernabei
29 S. Bain
56 A. Ralston
28 O. Abildgaard

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
81 A. Trubin G
23 Lucas Taylor D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
6 T. Stepanenko M
11 O. Zubkov M
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 H. Sudakov M
10 M. Mudryk M
2 L. Traoré F
Bench (12)
14 D. Sikan
4 S. Kryvtsov
34 I. Petryak
26 Y. Konoplya
16 D. Kryskiv
19 A. Kulakov
7 A. Totovytskyi
32 E. Kozik
20 D. Topalov
30 A. Pyatov
17 N. Đurasek
1 O. Shevchenko

Coach: I. Jovičević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.