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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Benfica
U S U U S
4–3
Full-time
Juventus
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 8/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Juventus – Benfica 1–2

Match report

Benfica Juventus
1–0 António Silva ⚽
E. Fernández
17′
21′
⚽ M. Kean 1–1
D. Vlahović
24′
ℹ️ Dušan Vlahović
VAR: Goal confirmed
2–1 João Mário ⚽
28′
3–1 Rafa ⚽
João Mário
35′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ M. Kean
4–1 Rafa ⚽
Álex Grimaldo
50′
60′
🔁 Alex Sandro
↦ L. Bonucci
60′
🔁 F. Miretti
↦ J. Cuadrado
62′
🟨 Danilo
70′
🔁 S. Iling-Junior
↦ F. Kostić
70′
🔁 M. Soulé
↦ D. Vlahović
77′
⚽ A. Milik 4–2
S. Iling-Junior
79′
⚽ W. McKennie 4–3
Gilberto 🔁
↦ A. Bah
81′
Enzo Fernández 🟨
84′
P. Musa 🔁
↦ Rafa
87′
David Neres 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Ramos
87′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ João Mário
94′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
61 Florentino M
13 E. Fernández M
20 João Mário M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (12)
2 Gilberto
33 P. Musa
7 David Neres
22 Chiquinho
23 M. Ristić
77 Helton Leite
17 Diogo Gonçalves
4 Lucas Veríssimo
55 Paulo Bernardo
25 J. Brooks
38 João Victor
39 Henrique Araújo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Juventus

3-5-2
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 F. Gatti D
19 L. Bonucci D
6 Danilo D
11 J. Cuadrado M
8 W. McKennie M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
9 D. Vlahović F
18 M. Kean F
Bench (9)
14 A. Milik
12 Alex Sandro
20 F. Miretti
43 S. Iling-Junior
30 M. Soulé
44 N. Fagioli
36 M. Perin
24 D. Rugani
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.