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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Dortmund
U U T S S
0–0
Full-time
Man City
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,2
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Man City – Dortmund 2–1

Match report

Dortmund Man City
7′
🟨 João Cancelo
31′
🟨 Julián Álvarez
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Akanji
↦ João Cancelo
46′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ E. Haaland
58′
🟨 İlkay Gündoğan
72′
🟨 Manuel Akanji
D. Malen 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
73′
81′
🔁 J. Grealish
↦ P. Foden
A. Modeste 🔁
↦ Y. Moukoko
82′
M. Wolf 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
82′
Mats Hummels 🟨
87′
A. Papadopoulos 🔁
↦ G. Reyna
87′
88′
🔁 C. Palmer
↦ R. Mahrez
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-5-1
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
10 T. Hazard D
27 K. Adeyemi M
22 J. Bellingham M
23 E. Can M
19 J. Brandt M
7 G. Reyna M
18 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (9)
21 D. Malen
20 A. Modeste
17 M. Wolf
47 A. Papadopoulos
33 A. Meyer
30 F. Passlack
38 L. Unbehaun
44 S. Coulibaly
36 T. Rothe

Coach: E. Terzić

Man City

4-4-2
18 S. Ortega G
5 J. Stones D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
7 João Cancelo D
26 R. Mahrez M
16 Rodri M
8 İ. Gündoğan M
47 P. Foden M
9 E. Haaland F
19 J. Álvarez F
Bench (10)
25 M. Akanji
20 Bernardo Silva
10 J. Grealish
80 C. Palmer
31 Ederson
82 R. Lewis
14 Aymeric Laporte
33 S. Carson
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
17 K. De Bruyne

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.