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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Dinamo Zagreb
S S T T U
0–4
Full-time
Milan
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Champions League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 8
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
0 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -22 Milan – Dinamo Zagreb 3–1

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Milan
39′
⚽ M. Gabbia 0–1
S. Tonali
Arijan Ademi 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Charles De Ketelaere
49′
⚽ Rafael Leão 0–2
T. Hernández
52′
🔁 R. Krunić
↦ C. De Ketelaere
M. Baturina 🔁
↦ A. Ademi
57′
Robert Ljubičić 🟨
58′
J. Drmić 🔁
↦ B. Petković
58′
D. Špikić 🔁
↦ S. Ristovski
58′
59′
⚽ O. Giroud 0–3
69′
⚽ R. Ljubičić 1–3
own goal
70′
🔁 F. Ballo
↦ T. Hernández
70′
🔁 Junior Messias
↦ Rafael Leão
70′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ I. Bennacer
M. Bulat 🔁
↦ J. Mišić
75′
P. Bočkaj 🔁
↦ M. Oršić
75′
81′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ O. Giroud
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

3-1-4-2
40 D. Livaković G
13 S. Ristovski D
37 J. Šutalo D
55 D. Perić D
27 J. Mišić M
2 S. Moharrami M
7 L. Ivanušec M
5 A. Ademi M
14 R. Ljubičić M
9 B. Petković F
99 M. Oršić F
Bench (12)
10 M. Baturina
18 J. Drmić
77 D. Špikić
31 M. Bulat
12 P. Bočkaj
70 L. Menalo
1 D. Zagorac
11 M. Emreli
28 K. Théophile-Catherine
20 A. Marin
3 D. Štefulj
6 R. Lauritsen

Coach: A. Čačić

Milan

4-2-3-1
1 C. Tătărușanu G
20 P. Kalulu D
24 S. Kjær D
46 M. Gabbia D
19 T. Hernández D
8 S. Tonali M
4 I. Bennacer M
12 A. Rebić M
90 C. De Ketelaere M
17 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (9)
33 R. Krunić
5 F. Ballo
30 Junior Messias
32 T. Pobega
27 D. Origi
96 A. Jungdal
92 L. Nava
10 Brahim Díaz
93 A. Coubiș

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.