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Champions League
Referee: I Kružliak
Man United
T T S S T
2–3
Full-time
Galatasaray
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
0%
71%
Points per game
0,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
100%
71%
Both score Ø 79%
100%
57%
Average goals
7,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,10 xG 2,64
55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Galatasaray
1–0 R. Højlund ⚽
M. Rashford
17′
23′
⚽ W. Zaha 1–1
D. Sánchez
31′
🟨 Lucas Torreira
Casemiro 🟨
34′
Diogo Dalot 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ H. Mejbri
46′
61′
🟨 Sacha Boey
61′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ L. Torreira
61′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ Tetê
2–1 R. Højlund ⚽
67′
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ M. Rashford
68′
71′
⚽ K. Aktürkoğlu 2–2
B. Yılmaz
72′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ W. Zaha
Casemiro 🟨
77′
Casemiro 🟥
77′
81′
⚽ M. Icardi 2–3
D. Sánchez
84′
🔁 T. Ndombélé
↦ Angeliño
84′
🔁 V. Nelsson
↦ K. Ayhan
85′
🟨 Sérgio Oliveira
Antony 🔁
↦ M. Mount
85′
A. Martial 🔁
↦ S. Amrabat
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Man United

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
20 Diogo Dalot D
19 R. Varane D
2 V. Lindelöf D
4 S. Amrabat D
46 H. Mejbri M
18 Casemiro M
7 M. Mount M
8 Bruno Fernandes F
11 R. Højlund F
10 M. Rashford F
Bench (10)
14 C. Eriksen
17 A. Garnacho
21 Antony
9 A. Martial
39 S. McTominay
5 H. Maguire
28 F. Pellistri
35 J. Evans
40 R. Vítek
1 A. Bayındır

Coach: E. ten Hag

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
3 Angeliño D
23 K. Ayhan M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Tetê M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
14 W. Zaha M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (8)
27 Sérgio Oliveira
53 B. Yılmaz
10 D. Mertens
91 T. Ndombélé
25 V. Nelsson
19 G. Güvenç
8 K. Demirbay
94 C. Bakambu

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.