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Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
PSV Eindhoven
S T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
3,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
4,6
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,58 xG 1,29
63% Possession 37%
26 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Feb -23 PSV Eindhoven – Sevilla 2–0 16. Feb -23 Sevilla – PSV Eindhoven 3–0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sevilla
Joey Veerman 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Jesús Navas
Half-time 0–0
53′
ℹ️ Adrià Pedrosa
VAR: Goal cancelled
66′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Suso
66′
🔁 D. Sow
↦ Fernando
68′
⚽ N. Gudelj 0–1
Sergio Ramos
H. Lozano 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
71′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
71′
72′
🔁 M. Acuña
↦ Adrià Pedrosa
73′
🔁 Juanlu Sánchez
↦ Jesús Navas
A. Bella-Kotchap 🔁
↦ André Ramalho
82′
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ O. Boscagli
82′
1–1 L. de Jong ⚽
86′
87′
🔁 L. Badé
↦ L. Ocampos
87′
⚽ Y. En-Nesyri 1–2
Juanlu Sánchez
Hirving Lozano 🟨
91′
2–2 J. Teze ⚽
95′
97′
🟨 Loïc Badé
Luuk de Jong 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
10 M. Tillman M
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
7 N. Lang F
Bench (10)
27 H. Lozano
34 I. Saibari
6 A. Bella-Kotchap
14 R. Pepi
16 J. Drommel
24 B. Waterman
32 Y. Vertessen
2 S. Sambo
20 G. Til
30 P. van Aanholt

Coach: P. Bosz

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Ø. Nyland G
16 Jesús Navas D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 Sergio Ramos D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
20 Fernando M
10 I. Rakitić M
5 L. Ocampos M
7 Suso M
11 D. Lukébakio M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
21 Óliver Torres
18 D. Sow
19 M. Acuña
26 Juanlu Sánchez
22 L. Badé
2 F. Gattoni
12 M. Díaz
8 Joan Jordán
31 Alberto Flores
1 M. Dmitrović
9 Rafa Mir
24 B. Soumaré

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.