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Ligue 2
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Bordeaux
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Caen
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 32%
25%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Caen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 9 7 1 1 +7 22
2 Grenoble 9 5 4 0 +7 19
3 Auxerre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
4 Angers 9 5 2 2 +4 17
5 Guingamp 9 4 2 3 +6 14
6 Rodez 9 4 2 3 +2 14
7 St Etienne 8 4 2 2 +2 14
8 Pau FC 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Amiens 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Ajaccio 9 3 4 2 -2 13
11 Caen 8 4 0 4 +5 12
12 Annecy 9 2 5 2 -1 11
13 Bordeaux 8 3 2 3 -3 11
14 Bastia 9 2 2 5 -7 8
15 Concarneau 9 2 2 5 -7 8
16 Troyes 9 1 4 4 -2 7
17 Paris FC 9 2 1 6 -4 7
18 Dunkerque 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 Valenciennes 9 1 3 5 -8 6
20 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Caen
15′
Alexandre Mendy 0–1
G. Kyeremeh
1–1 Z. Davitashvili
D. Ignatenko
34′
Clément Michelin 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Diani
↦ B. Traoré
Aliou Badji 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Valentin Henry
A. Elis 🔁
↦ A. Pitu
66′
G. Weissbeck 🔁
↦ I. Sissokho
68′
72′
🔁 H. Mbock
↦ G. Kyeremeh
77′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ D. Bolumbu
Danylo Ignatenko 🟨
89′
J. Livolant 🔁
↦ A. Badji
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
13 R. Strączek G
34 C. Michelin D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
19 J. Ekomié D
8 I. Sissokho M
6 D. Ignatenko M
20 Pedro Díaz M
30 Z. Davitashvili F
77 A. Badji F
11 A. Pitu F
Bench (7)
17 A. Elis
10 G. Weissbeck
7 J. Livolant
1 K. Johnsson
81 M. De Lima
22 Mathias De Amorim
4 M. Bokele

Coach: D. Guion

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
3 D. Bolumbu D
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
17 G. Kyeremeh M
8 Y. Court M
2 A. Abdi M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
28 D. Diani
18 H. Mbock
11 M. Le Bihan
16 Y. Clémentia
7 T. Gomis
92 A. Coeff
22 M. Hafid

Coach: J. Furlan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,17
U ✓
3,31
B
3,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.