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Europa League
Referee: D Stefanski
Ferencvarosi TC
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ferencvarosi TC FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 47%
60%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
60%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 20
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Oct -22 FK Crvena Zvezda – Ferencvarosi TC 4–1

Match report

Ferencvarosi TC FK Crvena Zvezda
Ádám Bogdán 🟨
-5′
21′
🟨 Strahinja Eraković
1–0 K. Zachariassen ⚽
23′
27′
🔁 K. Kangwa
↦ S. Sanogo
Mats Knoester 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
47′
ℹ️ Aleksandar Pešić
VAR: Goal cancelled
Endre Botka 🟨
51′
55′
⚽ S. Mitrović 1–1
G. Kanga
61′
🔁 O. Bukari
↦ A. Katai
2–1 S. Mmaee ⚽
L. Pászka
61′
Adama Malouda Traoré 🟨
62′
T. Nguen 🔁
↦ A. Gojak
66′
A. Esiti 🔁
↦ M. Bešić
81′
81′
🔁 N. Milunović
↦ A. Dragović
82′
🔁 J. Mijatović
↦ G. Kanga
Tokmac Nguen 🟨
91′
F. Boli 🔁
↦ R. Mmaee
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC

4-2-3-1
90 D. Dibusz G
21 E. Botka D
3 S. Mmaee D
4 M. Knoester D
23 L. Pászka D
19 B. Vécsei M
5 M. Bešić M
16 K. Zachariassen M
14 A. Gojak M
20 A. Traoré M
8 R. Mmaee F
Bench (8)
10 T. Nguen
13 A. Esiti
70 F. Boli
50 Marquinhos
76 K. Lisztes
7 X. Mercier
61 S. Mergl
1 Á. Bogdán

Coach: S. Cherchesov

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
82 M. Borjan G
77 M. Gobeljić D
25 S. Eraković D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
35 S. Sanogo M
8 G. Kanga M
80 S. Mitrović M
4 M. Ivanić M
10 A. Katai M
72 A. Pešić F
Bench (12)
20 K. Kangwa
11 O. Bukari
19 N. Milunović
9 J. Mijatović
18 I. Mustapha
1 Z. Popović
55 S. Srnić
44 S. Leković
6 R. Pankov
38 N. Stanković
17 N. Motika
31 E. Fardou Ben Mohamed

Coach: M. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Stefanski · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.