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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Hartberg
T S T S U
1–5
Full-time
Salzburg
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 49%
37%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
43%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 9
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 7. · Salzburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 30 18 9 3 +31 63
2 Salzburg 30 18 7 5 +35 61
3 LASK 30 14 9 7 +16 51
4 Wolfsberger AC 31 11 10 10 +0 43
5 Austria Vienna 31 11 10 10 +0 43
6 SK Rapid 30 10 12 8 +14 42
7 Hartberg 30 11 9 10 -2 42
8 A. Klagenfurt 30 9 12 9 -7 39
9 BW Linz 31 7 11 13 -14 32
10 Altach 31 6 12 13 -13 30
11 Tirol 31 7 5 19 -24 26
12 A. Lustenau 31 4 8 19 -36 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.