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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Salzburg
S T U T S
7–1
Full-time
LASK
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 53%
61%
45%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
35%
Both score Ø 42%
45%
39%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 6
11 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · LASK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 19 7 5 +39 64
2 Sturm Graz 31 18 10 3 +31 64
3 LASK 31 14 10 7 +16 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 32 12 10 10 +2 46
5 Austria Vienna 32 12 10 10 +1 46
6 SK Rapid 31 11 12 8 +15 45
7 Hartberg 31 11 9 11 -6 42
8 A. Klagenfurt 31 9 12 10 -8 39
9 BW Linz 32 7 11 14 -15 32
10 Altach 32 6 13 13 -13 31
11 Tirol 32 7 5 20 -26 26
12 A. Lustenau 32 4 9 19 -36 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg LASK
1–0 S. Koïta
7′
2–0 L. Sučić
8′
25′
M. Usor 2–1
M. Talovierov
3–1 S. Pavlović
L. Sučić
36′
Roko Šimić ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
41′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ F. Stojković
Flavius Daniliuc 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 Florian Flecker
Roko Šimić 🟨
49′
4–1 L. Sučić
61′
5–1 K. Konaté
66′
69′
🔁 B. Jovičić
↦ M. Usor
6–1 S. Koïta
71′
75′
🔁 L. Copado
↦ V. Berisha
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ R. Šimić
76′
P. Ratkov 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
76′
A. Terzić 🔁
↦ D. Guindo
76′
D. Nene 🔁
↦ K. Konaté
76′
7–1 D. Nene
O. Gloukh
78′
O. Solet 🔁
↦ S. Koïta
88′
88′
🔁 E. Havel
↦ M. Ljubičić
89′
🔁 L. Wimhofer
↦ F. Luckeneder
Full-time 7–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-4-2
13 T. Horn G
25 F. Daniliuc D
6 S. Baidoo D
31 S. Pavlović D
29 D. Guindo D
10 L. Sučić M
15 M. Diambou M
20 S. Koïta M
30 O. Gloukh M
23 R. Šimić F
19 K. Konaté F
Bench (7)
27 L. Gourna-Douath
21 P. Ratkov
3 A. Terzić
45 D. Nene
22 O. Solet
49 M. Yeo
41 J. Krumrey

Coach: O. Cinel

LASK

3-4-3
1 T. Lawal G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
33 F. Luckeneder D
25 S. Ba M
4 M. Talovierov M
14 V. Berisha M
2 G. Bello M
17 M. Usor F
9 M. Ljubičić F
29 F. Flecker F
Bench (7)
19 L. Pintor
18 B. Jovičić
37 L. Copado
24 E. Havel
41 L. Wimhofer
28 J. Siebenhandl
10 R. Žulj

Coach: T. Darazs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.