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Champions League
Referee: G Kabakov
Young Boys
U U S S U
0–3
Full-time
Aston Villa
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,59 xG 2,04
47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Aston Villa
27′
⚽ Y. Tielemans 0–1
J. McGinn
Cheikh Niasse 🟨
33′
38′
⚽ J. Ramsey 0–2
O. Watkins
45′
ℹ️ Ollie Watkins
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–2
Sandro Lauper 🟨
46′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ C. Niasse
46′
46′
🔁 Diego Carlos
↦ L. Bogarde
Meschack Elia 🟨
53′
60′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ O. Watkins
Abdu Conté 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
63′
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ E. Colley
63′
Joël Monteiro 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 Jhon Durán
79′
ℹ️ Jhon Durán
VAR: Goal cancelled
D. Males 🔁
↦ J. Monteiro
83′
C. Itten 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
83′
86′
⚽ A. Onana 0–3
Y. Tielemans
87′
🔁 I. Maatsen
↦ Y. Tielemans
88′
🔁 R. Barkley
↦ L. Digne
88′
🔁 E. Buendía
↦ M. Rogers
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
26 D. von Ballmoos G
24 Z. Athekame D
13 M. Camara D
4 T. Zoukrou D
3 J. Hadjam D
20 C. Niasse M
30 S. Lauper M
77 J. Monteiro M
7 F. Ugrinic M
11 E. Colley M
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (12)
15 M. Elia
22 Abdu Conté
21 A. Virginius
39 D. Males
9 C. Itten
27 L. Blum
40 D. Marzino
14 M. Chaiwa
8 Ł. Łakomy
10 K. Imeri
23 L. Benito
33 M. Keller

Coach: P. Rahmen

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
26 L. Bogarde D
4 E. Konsa D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
24 A. Onana M
8 Y. Tielemans M
7 J. McGinn M
27 M. Rogers M
41 J. Ramsey M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (11)
3 Diego Carlos
9 J. Durán
22 I. Maatsen
6 R. Barkley
10 E. Buendía
48 O. Zych
50 S. Swinkels
18 J. Gauci
31 L. Bailey
20 K. Nedeljković
72 K. Young

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.