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Premier League
Referee: T Harrington
West Ham
T U T S T
1–2
Full-time
Aston Villa
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,46 xG 2,03
52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Mar -24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 22. Oct -23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 12. Mar -23 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 28. Aug -22 Aston Villa – West Ham 0–1 13. Mar -22 West Ham – Aston Villa 2–1

Match report

West Ham Aston Villa
4′
⚽ A. Onana 0–1
Y. Tielemans
8′
🟨 Leon Bailey
Lucas Paquetá 🟨
31′
1–1 Lucas Paquetá ⚽
37′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 J. Durán
↦ O. Watkins
62′
🔁 J. Ramsey
↦ J. McGinn
N. Füllkrug 🔁
↦ M. Antonio
73′
C. Summerville 🔁
↦ J. Bowen
73′
J. Ward-Prowse 🔁
↦ Lucas Paquetá
74′
74′
🔁 I. Maatsen
↦ L. Digne
74′
🔁 J. Philogene
↦ L. Bailey
79′
⚽ J. Durán 1–2
J. Ramsey
82′
🔁 K. Nedeljković
↦ M. Cash
D. Ings 🔁
↦ G. Rodríguez
85′
J. Todibo 🔁
↦ V. Coufal
85′
90′
🟨 Jaden Philogene-Bidace
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

West Ham

4-1-4-1
23 A. Areola G
5 V. Coufal D
15 K. Mavropanos D
26 M. Kilman D
33 Emerson D
24 G. Rodríguez M
20 J. Bowen M
28 T. Souček M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
14 M. Kudus M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (9)
11 N. Füllkrug
7 C. Summerville
8 J. Ward-Prowse
18 D. Ings
25 J. Todibo
3 A. Cresswell
1 Ł. Fabiański
39 A. Irving
29 A. Wan-Bissaka

Coach: Lopetegui

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
23 E. Martínez G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
14 Pau Torres D
12 L. Digne D
24 A. Onana M
8 Y. Tielemans M
31 L. Bailey M
27 M. Rogers M
7 J. McGinn M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (9)
9 J. Durán
41 J. Ramsey
22 I. Maatsen
19 J. Philogene
20 K. Nedeljković
3 Diego Carlos
10 E. Buendía
18 J. Gauci
6 R. Barkley

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
🔒
U
3,69
🔒
B ✓
2,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
U2,5
2,43
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.