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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Real Madrid
U S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
4,0
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,61 xG 1,94
46% Possession 54%
20 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Real Madrid Stuttgart
Lucas Vázquez 🟨
23′
30′
🟨 Maximilian Mittelstädt
Antonio Rüdiger ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
35′
Half-time 0–0
Éder Militão 🔁
↦ Lucas Vázquez
46′
1–0 K. Mbappé ⚽
Rodrygo
46′
63′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ C. Führich
63′
🔁 A. Chase
↦ J. Vagnoman
68′
⚽ D. Undav 1–1
J. Leweling
L. Modrić 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
70′
Fran García 🔁
↦ F. Mendy
75′
A. Güler 🔁
↦ Rodrygo
75′
75′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ E. Millot
76′
🔁 E. Touré
↦ D. Undav
Federico Valverde 🟨
78′
Éder Militão 🟨
80′
Endrick 🔁
↦ J. Bellingham
80′
2–1 A. Rüdiger ⚽
L. Modrić
83′
89′
🔁 D. Zagadou
↦ A. Rouault
Luka Modrić 🟨
95′
3–1 Endrick ⚽
Dani Carvajal
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
2 Dani Carvajal D
22 A. Rüdiger D
23 F. Mendy D
8 F. Valverde M
14 A. Tchouaméni M
5 J. Bellingham M
11 Rodrygo F
9 K. Mbappé F
7 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (8)
3 Éder Militão
10 L. Modrić
20 Fran García
15 A. Güler
16 Endrick
18 Jesús Vallejo
13 A. Lunin
26 Fran González

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nübel G
4 J. Vagnoman D
29 A. Rouault D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
18 J. Leweling M
8 E. Millot M
27 C. Führich M
26 D. Undav F
Bench (11)
32 F. Rieder
45 A. Chase
9 E. Demirović
10 E. Touré
23 D. Zagadou
1 F. Bredlow
5 Y. Keitel
13 F. Krätzig
15 P. Stenzel
40 L. Raimund
41 D. Seimen

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.