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League Cup

Referee: G Ward

Man United

S S T T S

7–0

Full-time

Barnsley

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%

26 Shots 3

13 Shots on target 0

9 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Preston	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Fleetwood Town	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Blackpool	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Leyton Orient	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Bolton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
22	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
23	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Tranmere	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	-2	3
39	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-3	3
41	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-4	3
42	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
55	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
85	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Preston	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Walsall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
33	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
34	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
35	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
36	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.