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Ligue 1

Referee: G Angoula

Brest

U U S T T

4–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

0,0

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,12 xG 0,17

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 28

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 18. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+9	+5.8	6
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.7	6
4	Lens	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
5	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.3	4
6	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
7	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.1	4
8	Rennes	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.4	3
9	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
10	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.9	3
11	Lyon	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.0	3
12	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
13	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
14	Reims	2	0	1	1	-2	-4.3	1
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-6	-2.7	1
16	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.8	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0
18	Brest	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.2	3
2	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
3	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
5	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Lens	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
7	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
9	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
10	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
11	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
12	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
16	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
17	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
18	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
5	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
6	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
8	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
9	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
11	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
12	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
13	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Brest	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
17	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.