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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Bayern Munich

S S U T U

4–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

5,3

3,7

Scored

4,0

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,5

4,3

Scored

3,3

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,27 xG 0,40

66% Possession 34%

22 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 3. · Stuttgart 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+9	+2.8	17
2	Freiburg	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.5	15
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+13	+9.4	14
4	Leverkusen	7	4	2	1	+5	+7.4	14
5	Ein Frankfurt	7	4	1	2	+4	+0.6	13
6	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+2	+2.4	13
7	Union Berlin	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.3	11
8	Stuttgart	6	2	3	1	+4	+5.1	9
9	Heidenheim	7	3	0	4	+1	+0.1	9
10	M'gladbach	7	3	0	4	-2	+0.5	9
11	Mainz	7	2	2	3	-1	-5.4	8
12	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	-4	+0.1	8
13	Wolfsburg	6	2	1	3	+1	-2.4	7
14	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-4	-6.7	7
15	Augsburg	7	2	1	4	-8	-0.5	7
16	St Pauli	7	1	1	5	-6	-4.5	4
17	Holstein Kiel	6	0	2	4	-10	-5.7	2
18	Bochum	7	0	1	6	-10	-8.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.6	12
2	Union Berlin	3	3	0	0	+3	+2.1	9
3	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.4	9
4	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.9	7
5	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.4	7
6	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	+2	+4.1	7
7	Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	+1	+4.9	7
8	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	-1	-3.2	6
9	M'gladbach	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.0	6
10	Stuttgart	3	1	2	0	+4	+5.5	5
11	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.9	4
12	Heidenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.2	3
13	Wolfsburg	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.1	1
14	Bochum	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.4	1
15	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.2	1
16	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-5	+0.5	1
17	Werder Bremen	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.3	1
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-9	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+11	+7.4	10
2	RB Leipzig	4	3	1	0	+4	-0.1	10
3	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+4	-3.2	7
4	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.5	7
5	Werder Bremen	3	2	1	0	+2	+3.3	7
6	Wolfsburg	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.3	6
7	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.1	6
8	Heidenheim	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.8	6
10	Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
11	St Pauli	4	1	0	3	-1	-5.0	3
12	M'gladbach	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.4	3
13	Holstein Kiel	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.6	2
14	Union Berlin	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.8	2
15	Hoffenheim	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.5	1
16	Dortmund	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.3	1
17	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-6	-4.5	0
18	Augsburg	3	0	0	3	-10	-4.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.