Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
RB Leipzig
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | +1.4 | 14 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +13 | +8.4 | 13 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | +3.5 | 12 |
| 4 |
Freiburg
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +2 | +4.3 | 12 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | +5.5 | 11 |
| 6 |
Union Berlin
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | +0.3 | 11 |
| 7 |
Dortmund
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | +0.0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Heidenheim
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | +1.6 | 9 |
| 9 |
Stuttgart
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | +4.0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Mainz
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | -4.1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +0.1 | 8 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 13 |
Augsburg
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | -0.2 | 7 |
| 14 |
M'gladbach
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | -1.1 | 6 |
| 15 |
St Pauli
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 16 |
Hoffenheim
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | -5.3 | 3 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -10 | -5.7 | 2 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | -8.2 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Kauã Santos
G
R. Kristensen
D
R. Koch
D
A. Theate
D
A. Knauff
M
E. Skhiri
M
H. Larsson
M
F. Chaïbi
M
Omar Marmoush
F
Coach: D. Toppmöller
M. Neuer
G
D. Upamecano
D
Kim Min-Jae
D
A. Davies
D
J. Kimmich
M
A. Pavlović
M
M. Olise
M
S. Gnabry
M
H. Kane
F
Coach: V. Kompany
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Besiktas
Ein Frankfurt
Holstein Kiel
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Plzen
Ein Frankfurt
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
Ein Frankfurt
B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.