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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Ein Frankfurt
S S U S S
3–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
4,7
Scored
2,8
3,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
80%
80%
Points per game
2,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,4
4,2
Scored
2,2
3,4
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,21 xG 2,18
26% Possession 74%
5 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 13
0 Blocked shots 5
10 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 11
3 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Bayern Munich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 6 4 2 0 +7 +1.4 14
2 Bayern Munich 5 4 1 0 +13 +8.4 13
3 Ein Frankfurt 5 4 0 1 +5 +3.5 12
4 Freiburg 6 4 0 2 +2 +4.3 12
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 +4 +5.5 11
6 Union Berlin 6 3 2 1 +2 +0.3 11
7 Dortmund 6 3 1 2 +1 +0.0 10
8 Heidenheim 6 3 0 3 +2 +1.6 9
9 Stuttgart 5 2 2 1 +4 +4.0 8
10 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +1 -4.1 8
11 Werder Bremen 6 2 2 2 -4 +0.1 8
12 Wolfsburg 6 2 1 3 +1 -2.4 7
13 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -6 -0.2 7
14 M'gladbach 6 2 0 4 -3 -1.1 6
15 St Pauli 6 1 1 4 -5 -2.2 4
16 Hoffenheim 5 1 0 4 -6 -5.3 3
17 Holstein Kiel 6 0 2 4 -10 -5.7 2
18 Bochum 6 0 1 5 -8 -8.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
15′
Kim Min-Jae 0–1
T. Müller
1–1 Omar Marmoush
A. Knauff
22′
2–1 H. Ekitiké
Omar Marmoush
35′
38′
D. Upamecano 2–2
43′
🟨 Thomas Müller
Half-time 2–2
Mahmoud Dahoud 🔁
↦ E. Skhiri
46′
53′
M. Olise 2–3
J. Dina Ebimbe 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
66′
66′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ S. Gnabry
72′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ H. Kane
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
75′
M. Götze 🔁
↦ H. Larsson
75′
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ F. Chaïbi
80′
90′
🔁 E. Dier
↦ D. Upamecano
90′
🔁 K. Laimer
↦ M. Olise
91′
🔁 João Palhinha
↦ A. Pavlović
3–3 Omar Marmoush
J. Dina Ebimbe
94′
Omar Marmoush 🟨
96′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-2
40 Kauã Santos G
13 R. Kristensen D
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
36 A. Knauff M
15 E. Skhiri M
16 H. Larsson M
8 F. Chaïbi M
11 H. Ekitiké F
7 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
26 J. Dina Ebimbe
19 J. Bahoya
27 M. Götze
20 C. Uzun
29 N. Nkounkou
5 A. Amenda
33 J. Grahl
9 I. Matanović

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
22 Raphaël Guerreiro D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlović M
17 M. Olise M
25 T. Müller M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
11 K. Coman
39 M. Tel
16 João Palhinha
15 E. Dier
27 K. Laimer
10 L. Sané
18 D. Peretz
49 A. Aznou
8 L. Goretzka

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,51
U ✓
4,85
B
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,35
U2,5
3,13
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.