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Champions League
Referee: M Lukjančukas
Ath Madrid
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Slovan Bratislava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,3
4,5
Scored
3,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
3,3
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/13 matches
Win Ø 49%
60%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 81%
100%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
60%
62%
Average goals
4,0
3,6
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,98 xG 0,21
59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Slovan Bratislava
1–0 J. Alvarez ⚽
Samuel Lino
16′
35′
🔁 N. Marcelli
↦ T. Barseghyan
2–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
Marcos Llorente
42′
Half-time 2–0
Koke 🔁
↦ Pablo Barrios
46′
50′
ℹ️ David Strelec
VAR: Penalty confirmed
51′
⚽ D. Strelec 2–1
3–1 A. Griezmann ⚽
Koke
57′
72′
🔁 I. Metsoko
↦ J. Medveděv
72′
🔁 S. Zuberu
↦ R. Mak
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
73′
Rodrigo Riquelme 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
73′
C. Gallagher 🔁
↦ Samuel Lino
73′
84′
🔁 V. Weiss
↦ K. Bajrič
84′
🔁 A. Mustafić
↦ K. Savvidīs
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 Marcos Llorente D
2 J. Giménez D
15 C. Lenglet D
21 Javi Galán D
22 G. Simeone M
5 R. De Paul M
8 Pablo Barrios M
12 Samuel Lino M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
6 Koke
9 A. Sørloth
17 Rodrigo Riquelme
4 C. Gallagher
11 T. Lemar
24 Robin Le Normand
23 Reinildo
1 J. Musso
10 Á. Correa
3 César Azpilicueta
20 A. Witsel
16 N. Molina

Coach: D. Simeone

Slovan Bratislava

3-4-3
71 D. Takáč G
12 K. Bajrič D
4 G. Kashia D
2 S. Voet D
28 C. Blackman M
33 J. Kucka M
88 K. Savvidīs M
17 J. Medveděv M
11 T. Barseghyan F
13 D. Strelec F
21 R. Mak F
Bench (11)
18 N. Marcelli
93 I. Metsoko
23 S. Zuberu
7 V. Weiss
20 A. Mustafić
26 A. Gajdoš
27 M. Vojtko
37 J. Szöke
25 L. Pauschek
6 K. Wimmer
31 M. Trnovský

Coach: V. Weiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjančukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.