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Champions League
Referee: R Petrescu
Benfica
S S S S S
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,8
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
3,4
1,6
Scored
2,0
0,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,21
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Bologna
Vangelis Pavlidis ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
3′
Vangelis Pavlidis 🟨
24′
Half-time 0–0
Florentino Luís 🟨
48′
53′
🟨 Giovanni Fabbian
Alexander Bah 🟨
59′
62′
🟨 Nicolò Casale
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
63′
71′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
Z. Amdouni 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
72′
J. Beste 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
72′
72′
🔁 D. Ndoye
↦ K. Urbański
73′
🔁 J. Lucumí
↦ N. Casale
73′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ G. Fabbian
73′
🔁 R. Freuler
↦ N. Moro
Nicolás Otamendi 🟨
76′
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
80′
88′
🔁 T. Corazza
↦ S. Posch
89′
🟨 Remo Freuler
95′
🟨 Sam Beukema
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-3-3
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
44 Tomás Araújo D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
8 F. Aursnes M
61 Florentino M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María F
14 V. Pavlidis F
17 K. Aktürkoğlu F
Bench (12)
7 Z. Amdouni
37 J. Beste
9 Arthur Cabral
25 G. Prestianni
32 B. Rollheiser
21 A. Schjelderup
28 I. Kaboré
4 António Silva
24 Samuel Soares
18 L. Barreiro
75 André Gomes
81 A. Bajrami

Coach: Bruno Lage

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski G
3 S. Posch D
31 S. Beukema D
15 N. Casale D
2 E. Holm D
19 L. Ferguson M
6 N. Moro M
82 K. Urbański M
80 G. Fabbian M
14 S. Iling-Junior M
24 T. Dallinga F
Bench (10)
11 D. Ndoye
26 J. Lucumí
18 T. Pobega
8 R. Freuler
16 T. Corazza
23 N. Bagnolini
21 J. Odgaard
34 F. Ravaglia
9 S. Castro
5 M. Erlić

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.